Enter the December, little change in compound fertilizer market. Manufacturers have price, payment. In addition to the northeast, Southern China market dealers began playing paragraph, most dealers are still wait-and-see. The recent market for the new tariff policy advantage good high expectations, but there is also the view that the short term fat city still does not have the power of a sharp rise in.

Last week, we have analyzed, at present raw material price level with the same period last year than there are differentiation. The ammonium phosphate and potash fertilizer rose in 200 yuan of above, and urea prices lower than the same period last year 100~150 yuan. Have been factors currently ammonium phosphate and potash fertilizer prices to reflect the price in winter storage enterprise published in.

In the part of the price has not yet been introduced winter storage enterprises, diammonium trend and will soon introduce a new tariff policy will be two important influence factors of the short-term. As the competition of compound fertilizer varieties, diammonium phosphate in sulfur prices strong support gradually warmer, now Hubei area 64% diammonium quotation 2650~2700 yuan, 200 yuan more than last year. Although the primary delivery has not yet started, but traders hit the funds delivery began warming up, business orders this month also is abundant. A dealer said, this winter and next spring if DAP market strong, can support the space compound fertilizer.

Industry forecast, the new tariff policy helps to boost the domestic market, especially on the current domestic demand will have an immediate effect of urea. At that time, the domestic market from raw material to compound fertilizer is expected to rebound in the spring under the lead of demand. So the domestic manufacturers are also waiting for a last ditch.

At present, it is difficult to determine the exact price of urea early next year, but through some facts also found to predict the coming year market although there are good, but prices rose a lot of difficulties. This week, closing the India million tons of urea procurement, not strong market response. Tariff policy clear before the manufacturers caution in surprise. Although the shipment to January 12th, but the industry is also worried about the insufficient two weeks to leave Hong Kong manufacturers set time is too short. In addition, see from the analysis of supply on international markets to foreign media reports, the first quarter of next year, the international market supply will be the emergence of a small peak, the limited demand for growth, will be the formation of pressure. According to foreign media predicted that early next year, in addition to China have increased Urea Export expectations, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Algeria and Egypt have new plant put into operation, export capacity increase of more than 3000000 tons. Analysis of the data shows, the annual average growth rate of global urea in 1.5%~2%, the average annual increase in 2000000 ~300 million tons. The analysis thinks, although the first quarter of next year by the global demand for support, international price weakness had little possibility of urea. But the new project put into production, a substantial increase in market supply will be the formation of adverse effects.

Last week the international fertilizer prices remain stable. The Baltic bulk 48% compound fertilizer spot FOB US $360~370, $350~360 45% compound fertilizer; Germany bulk 45% compound fertilizer 315~325 euro; French bulk 51% compound fertilizer spot station price 360~365 euros: China bulk 48% compound fertilizer CIF 385~405 dollars; Southeast bulk 48% complex Hefei 395~415 dollars; British bagged 40% compound fertilizer (20%-10%-10% content nitrogen phosphorus potassium) $305~315.