In the cost of support, the current domestic urea prices let light storage business to see hunters the opportunity. But the off-season storage period is longer, the Fed chain and non manufacturers wish. This judge, recent hunters preparing fertilizer more for the terminal farmers or small dealers, big companies will have to wait for the uncertain policy.

The cost of support is short storage and near the end of the year, the first round of short storage time has now urea. Recently, the industry conflict Dongchu mood is gradually eased, with many dealers are struggling with whether preparing fertilizer, also some people deliberately to "bet" market. The author thinks, below 50% winning percentage is gambling, and the urea hunters of winning almost more than 80%.

From December the policy level can see the cost of support. The Ministry of finance, the State Administration of Taxation issued in October 9th "on the implementation of the coal resources tax reform clear notice", since December 1, 2014, the coal resources tax to levy from the amount changed to ad valorem tax rate, 2% ~ 10%, is on the urea coal cost of support. In reference to the problems left over by history and local differences, the preliminary estimate tons of coal prices rose 20 to 40 yuan (ton price, the same below). Also in Shanxi, Henan and other main coal production area relates to reduction or shutting down small coal mines by the end of the problem. At the end of the year the amount of resource tax superposition coal supply tightening supply and demand of coal prices, will also support the formation of strong. Urea cancel preferential VAT is another aspect of the cost of support, on urea means that costs increase 20 ~ 30 yuan.

International prices of export profits lower export tariff urea in 2015 was identified as the 5% or 80 yuan, and the unified tax rate, manufacturers generally with good judgment, and on the export of urea with higher expected next year. But in November 21st the international urea price overall decline, the Black Sea (Eugene) FOB reported only 300 to $310, down 10 to $16; $305 ~ 310 Baltic Sea FOB, down 4 to $7. From other urea in the country of export quotations of view, the international market price of competitors that appeared.

It is reported that the 1 December Ukraine will pay for Russian natural gas prepayment, eliminate the gas crisis between the two countries as soon as possible to solve the Black Sea (Eugene) urea production problems. The Black Sea (Eugene) to dramatically reduce the urea FOB quotation also show that their attitude to the international market. International prices fell and before the India announced that 1000000 tons of urea bidding procurement plan was contrary to. The former India tendering is bound to cause the international urea prices, the recent price behavior is fighting for market share.

In the face of the international market price FOB US $300, China still has a price advantage of urea, urea export situation in 2015 than in 2014 is still open policy orientation. Urea in the $290 FOB price situation, domestic ex factory price of 1500 yuan can be found to support; the FOB price fell to 280 dollars, domestic support can still reach 1450 yuan. However, the international price cut will squeeze China's Urea Export profits, export expectations need to re-examine the optimistic.