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After the new year's day, the traffic restrictions were lifted in early January, ammonia prices return to the rational. After a period of time a smooth transition, at present Liaoning area of liquid ammonia the mainstream ex factory price 2600-2700 yuan / ton, outward offer 2500 yuan / ton, the actual transactions in general can offer 50 yuan / ton, the regional market supply slightly tense; Hebei Shijiazhuang area mainstream spot factory 2130-2140 yuan / ton, Hengshui area mainstream acceptance factory 2240 yuan / ton, Baoding area general acceptance of the factory in 2170 yuan / ton, the northern region more stable prices; Henan area the mainstream ex factory price 2300 yuan / ton, heard the actual transaction low-end factory cash price of 2180-2250 yuan / ton; Shandong Linyi area of synthetic ammonia mainstream acceptance of ex factory price still is in 2420 yuan / ton; mainstream acceptance factory in Anhui area offer 2420 yuan / ton, but some traders feedback Anhui market prices appear stable kicked upstairs situation, low-end acceptance may have been in the ex factory price of 2400 yuan / ton below. Some manufacturers worry that ammonia market is difficult to good, price downward pressure.
With the product market is not ideal:
Urea, at present Shandong area mainstream factory price stability in the 1540 yuan / ton, the actual transaction factory general in 1520-1530 yuan / ton, in Northeast and Jiangsu of receiving adequate, some manufacturers have some ports in order, but the quantity is not too big, at present Yantai port to port the highest price up to 1600-1620 yuan / ton; Hebei area mainstream ex factory price stability in the 1520 yuan / ton, some manufacturers in order to perform the main port, the pin is still generally; Henan area mainstream factory pricing rose to 1530 yuan / ton, sales situation is slightly better, but the actual transaction factory still have price 1500 yuan / ton, a few manufacturers to Yantai port of shipment, but manufacturers ex factory price at slightly less than 1500 yuan / ton level; Anhui area mainstream factory offer stable at 1560 yuan / ton, the main products for the compound fertilizer factory, dealer delivery also slightly improved, the factory generally have preferences space 10-20 yuan / tons of actual transaction. Although recently urea market overall stability, and local area in Hong Kong by pulling, price rise slightly, but the current port delivery prices are not high, our country India bidding scalar goods remains uncertain, this round of increases range should not be too high, and difficult to continue for a long time, is expected to stimulate the agricultural market shipment, before the Spring Festival, local urea prices there will be slightly may. In addition, two methanol DME market downturn, prices continued weak, these bad factors make some manufacturers increased ammonia discharge amount, putting downward pressure on the price of liquid ammonia.
Downstream market tepid:
Large fertilizer plant as the primary pre orders, so started well, operating rate can reach 7-8%, and small and medium-sized enterprises operating rate is low, generally only maintain into about 3, some small factory is still in shutdown state, ready to resume production after the spring festival. Ammonium phosphate industry started good, but the enterprise multi primary pre orders, while the international aspects can supply quantity is not very adequate, the recent price may rise, but the majority of companies said temporarily to the domestic supply, so the overall prices stable.
To sum up, the liquid ammonia with recently product market is not ideal, in addition to Henan, Shandong and other regions have discontinued manufacturers market to resume production, the Hebei area of a factory pre launch annual production capacity of 600000 tons of liquid ammonia device in recently, late overall market supply increased, while the downstream procurement is slow, coupled with the Spring Festival approaching, the downstream portion of production, though some downstream stocking in advance, but at the same time, some liquid ammonia manufacturers also likely price ceiling single during the Spring Festival, to prevent the backlog of inventory, so the market is expected to highlight the recent bad liquid ammonia, the main producing areas prices will show a downward trend.
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