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In the blink of an eye, from the Spring Festival has been less than 1 months time, but the majority of enterprises still hold position hurry down distribution, making a last effort to annual leave before the spring festival. But it did not, through the feedback of each region, the current overall sales into a short-term slump, the market take the goods earlier months declined, business inventories rose.
In this regard, we pass and parts manufacturers of communication, the following thought the main reason:
1, this year the price of grain is not ideal, in the low shock, the decline in the purchasing power of farmers on fertilizer;
2, nearly two years into the spring sales, prices down not up, dampened the enthusiasm of the stock dealers;
3, fertilizer overcapacity is more and more obvious, even to the season around the compound fertilizer factory supply remains adequate, only individual brands of formula fertilizer slightly nervous, but does not affect the overall market supply;
4, so far, an agent prepared by compound fertilizer basic to the library, although it is not very enough, but can basically meet the year ago sales, late replenishment in the spring festival;
5, the terminal customer credit seriously, most retailers and two wholesalers debt funds have not withdrawn from circulation, lead to lower retail slow cargo agents.
But also need not too pessimistic, the current price of diammonium remains high, 64% diammonium northeast station reached 3000 yuan / tons; ammonium price than the early rose, potassium chloride short-term because Huojin prices rose slightly, while urea though has a low shock, but the base amount of stock to be used rarely, fertilizer season started, prices up a larger space. From raw materials, has a good support for compound fertilizer price. According to understand, at present the Dachang reserves more adequate basic raw material, available to the northeast and Anhui after the Spring Festival, but some small and medium enterprises due to poor this year winter storage and account receivable, resulting in the procurement of raw materials is not enough, to be complex in Hefei to start the market, demand will also release compound fertilizer prices for raw materials have a certain amount of support. If the single from this point of view, the two have a benign circulation.
Although raw material prices have certain positive for compound fertilizer, but the downstream Nahuo enthusiasm is not high, so the resulting compound fertilizer enterprises increased sales pressure, but in order to ensure the pre fight section customer interests of enterprises could not easily reduced, and itself profit margins have been very limited, so although the market is sluggish, but before the Spring Festival of compound fertilizer price stability should be in the main. With the primary market started late start, fertilizer prices are expected to slightly upward. (Yang Lin)
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