After the end of autumn fertilizer, entered the domestic fertilizer market will last longer lean period, the enterprises in the market into the off-season, have taken various measures to alleviate the pressure on the off-season in order to enter a good state of winter storage.
Nitrogen: less pressure to cut prices go weak domestic demand and export volume gains
Ammonium chloride: Paul at the end prop. Now domestic wet ammonium mainstream factory price 520-600 yuan (t price, the same below), dry ammonium 550-620 yuan, due to less demand, while pre-orders more finished, many manufacturers can meet the new single security at the end of the month, Buy off the price can talk, which also caused the spread of ammonium chloride is not present; In addition, the weak overall environment of nitrogen, a small amount of exports is not sufficient to boost the overall weakness in the market currently. Taken together, the effect is expected to guarantee the end of the policy should not prop up the market, overall prices will continue to fall ammonium chloride, ammonium decline will be more than dry wet ammonium, both prices will again straighten out.
Ammonium sulfate: supply reduction. Due to a deeper and deeper coke industry downturn and environmental inspection, resulting in a smaller overall volume of ammonium sulfate, but learned to deepen international pressure on China, Mexico against China Wuzhou Feng imports $ 92.9 levy anti-dumping duties for other imports originating from China $ 170.3 levy anti-dumping duties, export increased pressure; the domestic market, although the majority of downstream businesses optimistic Dongchu market, but the current procurement is still too early, thiamine enterprise downward price pressure. In summary, the ammonium sulfate has been the reduction of supply, so prices fall very slowly.
Urea: export pressure, weak domestic demand, lower offer for the main theme, the downstream cautious bargain-hunting. There are only a few farmers in some areas still need support, prices in most areas have different levels of decline; Dongchu market started slow, less downstream purchases in anticipation of prices have not bottomed out, still in a wait stage. Exports, the actual volume of India last tender was only slightly higher than 500,000 tons, of which China's total bid is less than 300,000 tons, the price is very low, the low-end $ 257 CIF only; based on High pressure on domestic production capacity, the international market for China to suppress the level is quite ruthless. It is understood that some companies have not yet started with the big traders pricing jointly sell the Fed, the current environment, the downside is limited even if the price of urea, half will be better, but it is difficult.
Phosphate: weak weaker Conference hope the dawn of compound fertilizer
Ammonium: price limit production, markets gradually weakening. Domestic new single volume small, the particles of ammonium demand has not yet commenced the northeastern region, only a few individual companies shipped. Because enterprises operating rate down, the overall supply is not significantly excessive, but the sluggish business environment has begun to offer lower to stimulate the downstream city to fight money getting goods. Exports remained weak, Brazil purchases less this year, prices continued to decline, reportedly currently 55% particulate ammonium domestic exports to Hong Kong's low-end price was less than 2,000 yuan. With the expected further decline in the price of compound fertilizer and held meetings, an ammonium impact will be gradually improved to take the goods, but the price may hardly be upward, while the need to be concerned about raw material prices.
Diammonium: tentative advance, Ming steady kicked upstairs. Since early October, the international fertilizer market price signal, diammonium prices continued downward, although companies offer unrealistically sought to stabilize the market, but the latest downstream market understand that companies have begun to expand in Northeast China in advance tentative pricing policy, which offer more for the 3000 yuan arrival, and individual water and land transport to the low end of the price of Liaoning only 2800 yuan. Weak export market, the business of walking through low-cost international market to ensure the possibility of a small domestic market stability, is expected to post diammonium enterprises will pressure domestic prices continued to fall.
Potash: The price pressure down but the decline is limited
Potassium chloride: being steady, small amount of the rebate. By the impact of large market malaise, potassium chloride steady advance on the sidelines, but lower downstream acceptance for the current market price, less purchases, with the port have yet to ship, the price trend shows the pressure down, but value-added tax cost of support is clear that the decline should be limited view temporarily.
Potassium: dull market stable, unsupported by the new single volume, individual Mannheim factory price lower, but most manufacturers offer remained stable, but in the actual transaction single single meeting, the general preferential space at least 50 yuan . Now the price is still holding stability Luo K, 51% powder spot the station about 3050 yuan offer.
Fertilizer: provisional suspension and determined late interest
Light fertilizer companies take the goods, inventories, operating rates fell sharply. At press time ago, the domestic fertilizer enterprises operating rate of some areas is almost as low as 1 percent. Progress in accordance with the market expected to be early November before various corporate policies may gradually introduced, due to varying degrees of raw materials down, expected late fertilizer companies preferential policies given the intensity will gradually expand.
To sum up, the current market, the downstream market for all kinds of fertilizer are not too high willingness to accept, Dongchu be delayed than in previous years, manufacturers have to do to prepare to fight a tough battle.