In mid November, the fertilizer market in the situation of cold and cheerless, manufacturers do not bid, dealers do not bother to inquire and stored for the winter market without the slightest signs to start. The author in the Shandong Wulian market turn, the dealers are all kind of put up the shutters, early winter cat feeling.
I remember that the past few years, the market has not yet ended, the manufacturers will be held in the dealer sales promotion meeting, to encourage dealers to take the goods. Although some time ago by the impact of fertilizer value-added tax, compound fertilizer prices rose slightly, some of the large compound fertilizer enterprises in Shandong up 130 yuan (ton price, the same below), some small plants also increased by 50 ~ 60 yuan. But the downstream market did not follow up, dealers do not care at all levels, the lack of strong support prices. From the actual sales situation in the autumn fertilizer market, the sales volume is shrinking, and the price is stable, a lot of fertilizer prices even lower than the spring. At present, many manufacturers do not have a new round of offer.
First of all, the autumn sales are sluggish, higher inventory, dealers lack of confidence. According to a dealer in Street Town, Wulian, he has more than 30 retail outlets, the largest sales in previous years, sales of more than 30 tons of compound fertilizer, and this year only 20 tons, compared with last year to reduce the three into a lot of Village retail sales of 5 tons.
Secondly, are not high investment willingness and enthusiasm of farmers farming. Economic downward pressure is still outstanding, the farmers income is not optimistic, a lot of farmers do not work wages, the problem of arrears of wages of migrant workers is serious, is bound to affect the investment of farmers in the past, some of the high price of selling relatively high priced products are affected.
Moreover, the climate of agricultural production is more and more serious. Drought has become a threat to agricultural production is becoming more and more serious problems, water conservancy facilities seriously lagging behind, difficult with the current demand for agricultural production match, dependent on the weather or agricultural production in many areas of the true portraiture. Like Wulian is typical upland sparsely, has for three consecutive years in winter and spring drought, a lot of winter wheat due to lack of irrigated conditions and cut or crops, autumn many farmers had abandoned waiting for the next spring replant other crop. Peasant farming enthusiasm is not high, affect agricultural procurement.
And the price of agricultural products is strong. The farmers are more sensitive to agricultural commodities such as corn, peanut, wheat prices, prices decreased greatly, farmers reluctant to sell. Peanuts last year of 8.60 yuan / kg, this year 7.40 yuan / kg; corn last year 2.10 yuan / kg, this year 1.60 yuan / kg, no doubt on the enthusiasm of peasant farming bring no small blow.
At the same time, in recent years, the dealer does not have the benefit of the winter storage. Even though the winter storage price is low, in the spring of the fierce market game, many dealers still take the strategy of low to low. There is winter storage fertilizer, nothing more than a large number of room for maneuver, the competitiveness of a little, and no substantial increase in profit. Although sales increased, but due to the annual film, urea loss tying our die hard, winter storage of profit greatly diminished, stored for the winter and winter storage is not a big difference. If not for the winter, but high prices, be in the right and self-confident. And now the convenience of the logistics conditions, almost no short goods may be, a phone call in the morning, afternoon will be able to deliver goods in place, dealers do not have to worry about the winter storage will not affect the market sales.
Finally, farmers with fertilizer habits change, with the use of the purchase, the general will not appear to focus on the purchase of the phenomenon. Again with spring fertilizer for a long time, dealers buy now sell now can calmly, winter storage cistern role has been significantly reduced.