The fertilizer market is not only for winter storage of fertilizer in winter that year sales have a decisive influence on the coming spring fertilizer production, processing, sales and other links plays a connecting role. But this year, the end of the year in the 10 months to start the chemical fertilizer, in the end of the month is not seen in the end of the 11.
In the face of this situation, the industry is expected to be expected in the matter. In 2015 the annual chemical fertilizer factory and the big market downturn, traders mentality are relatively conservative, receiving pressure, intense market competition, prices to mobilize the enthusiasm of farmers is not strong and other reasons, have become an important factor this year Dongchu delayed opening.
Excess capacity supply and demand imbalance
According to expert analysis, this year, urea production capacity of up to 9 million tons, which is not only for the urea market, but also for the entire fertilizer market has caused a huge impact. Urea in the middle of this month, the price of the main stream of the new low. Due to the lower demand, the number of dealers more than a small number of procurement, and therefore the manufacturers passive.
Not only is the nitrogen fertilizer, phosphorus fertilizer is currently in excess of the situation. Although some factories in the rotation maintenance phase, the ammonium phosphate plant operating rate remained at about 6.
Import raw material impact market
In addition to the impact of excess shortcomings, the increase in imports is one of the reasons for the imbalance in the market.
China is a potash importer, in the domestic production year growth, while import growth slowed the pace yet. Data show that this year, the cumulative production of potash fertilizer for 1~10 of 5 million 20 thousand tons, compared with last year, a total of 5.9% tons.
Import problems not only reflected in the aspect of potassium fertilizer, compound fertilizer, phosphate fertilizer also in the case of larger domestic capacity, there is a certain amount of imports.
The negative impact of the decline in food prices
For this year, there is a special reason -- prices.
The prices decreased, the Shandong area of corn purchase price only 8 cents, compared with last year fell more than 20%, wheat and rice prices have also been reduced to a series of the mentality of the market also brought some negative effects, weakened the enthusiasm of farmers caused negative mentality, so farmers needed fertilizer reserves next year fewer.
Raw materials market is not stable enterprise pricing into a key
As the raw material market is not stable, as the final end of the chemical fertilizer enterprises, pricing is particularly critical. The fertilizer market had attracted the attention of the fertilizer plant Dongchu offer surfaced, scale enterprises have been held dealer orders will be issued for winter storage policy. Expected in the end of next month, the market situation will gradually clear, part of the equipment maintenance enterprises gradually restored production, composite fertilizer enterprises operating rate rose slightly, from the full range of winter storage is probably not far away.