This year, although the compound fertilizer market has experienced a relatively loose export policy, tariff concessions, recovery of a series of policies to recover the tax, the cost of production enterprises to further improve, the original has been repeatedly optimistic about the compound fertilizer market has always been lukewarm. Currently in the compound fertilizer market is in the off-season, 45% chlorine based compound fertilizer mainstream factory price 1850 ~ 1950 yuan (ton price, the same below), 45% tons of sulfur based compound fertilizer mainstream factory price 2150 ~ 2250 yuan. Late by overcapacity, poor domestic demand, such as the impact of the poor, the compound fertilizer is still not optimistic, prices may continue to be down, and this situation will continue in the next few years.
"Most manufacturers expect the sales will phosphate fertilizer can have new turn, which consists of a cup of soup. However, after the individual compound fertilizer manufacturers began to introduce price policy, and the price is steady Ming anxiang." Hubei Maosheng biological Co. Ltd. Marketing Manager Zhang Jinglei told reporters complained.
Zhang Jinglei believes that the next few years, the fertilizer market overall market will lead to flat, coupled with the global economic downturn, as well as domestic agricultural products prices fell sharply, the market situation is difficult to completely reverse the pile up in excess of requirement, oligopoly will take time. "The price for seven or eight years does not appear too large decline, all fertilizer enterprises are affected by the price drop. And the amount of fertilizer exports have declined, the agency did not take the goods." The general manager of Guizhou Xiyang Fertilizer Industry Co Ltd Jia Qibin said.
Hubei, general manager of phosphorus fertilizer Co., Ltd., general manager Xi Guangming believes that the price of agricultural products, farmers' food sales difficulties, the dealer funds withdrawn from circulation, late compound fertilizer market pressure alexander. At present, the market price is not clear, many dealers are in a state of rest.
"Because the land is less and less, more and more intense competition, coupled with agricultural electricity providers took part of the market, fertilizer store business has become more and more difficult." The general manager of Shandong Heze Jiahe agricultural Co., Ltd. Wang Jianguo said. Due to the current price of fertilizer is not stable, the majority of farmers are buying and fat with the use of the purchase, no longer a winter reserve fertilizer. Into the off-season, the dealer no longer take goods, also no longer open. From now to March next year, in a very long time, the local chemical fertilizer sales almost zero, the terminal will be delayed until after the end of the year. Because the current market oversupply, coupled with the international market price is not high, the export disadvantage, is expected to compound fertilizer prices will continue to maintain the downward trend.
Compound fertilizer production capacity is also a piece of the production of the enterprise". According to the national phosphate fertilizer industry association statistics, as of 2014, according to comparable calculation, production and sales of the top ten of the production and sales of compound fertilizer production enterprises accounted for about 53.3% of the total production and sales. There are a number of production licenses of compound fertilizer production enterprises continue to reduce, but still more than 3400, production capacity of about 2 tons, while the actual production and sales of about 50 million tons, which means that the average operating rate is less than 25%.
From the international situation, the compound fertilizer market is not new. 2016, the overall continued to pick up the developed countries to increase the global demand for some good, but the United States and Japan and other countries in the manufacturing industry as a result of massive return and the loss of China's manufacturing industry, the demand for Chinese products caused by pressure. At the same time, the deterioration of the economic situation in emerging markets, will also limit the growth of China's compound fertilizer exports.
Xi Guangming is expected to start in December winter, but does not hold much hope. Because of the confusion of the market, the dealer took the goods is not active, the wait-and-see mood is very heavy. And the low price of crops, so that farmers lose confidence, with the amount of fertilizer input is not as big as before. The cause of the market downturn is mostly fake, dealers and farmers are honesty, credit. "I don't look good on the compound. If the business, quality supervision, agriculture and other regulatory authorities do not take measures, the situation will become more serious market confusion." Xi Guangming said bluntly.
Overall, in the next few years the traditional compound fertilizer market is still not optimistic about the market. Mainly in the current relatively low price of compound fertilizer for the mainstream, new fertilizer, although the prospect is broad, but with the growing competition, prices will inevitably fall.