In the spring of the fertilizer market is expected to pick up low inventory or to bring market opportunities
Spring fertilizer market is expected to pick up, prices are expected to rise, but the magnitude is not too large, the local market sales in the peak season does not exclude the tight supply situation. Low social inventory left some suspense for the spring urea market supply, may bring some market opportunities. In March 1st, held in Xiamen in 2016 of spring fertilizer market situation will make such a judgment. Specifically, the northwest, South, southwest, North China, urea adequate supply, prices are expected to stabilize the urea in spring, a slight concussion. The overall price trend is also related to the urea export situation, industrial urea demand, electricity price increases and other factors."
China nitrogen fertilizer industry association chairman Gu Qin to 2016 the nitrogenous fertilizer market overall judgment is: overcapacity pressure decrease, agricultural demand is stable, increased industrial demand, spring fertilizer market is expected to pick up, the market can meet the demand; market price will be increased, but the amplitude is not too large, market competition remains fierce. This spring, the fertilizer market does not rule out the tight supply situation of local area sales season.
Nitrogen fertilizer market and association information department director Wei Yong said: this small fertilizer the abolition of preferential, urea costs will rise 75-100 yuan (ton price, the same below); fertilizer with gas prices gradually merged, increase the cost of gas enterprise; real estate deal will promote the real estate market rebound, increase the amount of adhesive industry demand for urea; thermal power denitration upgrading of demand for urea; car with the amount of urea is to increase the factors such as the price of urea formed strong support.
A number of changes in the nitrogen industry last year: China's synthetic ammonia, urea exit capacity for the first time exceeded the new capacity, the change in the export tariff of chemical fertilizers to promote the return of the peak season market. The above information judgment, this year will be better than last year overall urea market.
According to statistics, last year's exit 86 nitrogenous fertilizer production enterprises, total ammonia capacity of 5.8 million tons, 394 million tons of production capacity of urea, ammonium bicarbonate production capacity to 16.7 million tons. To a certain extent will lead to the fertilizer market is expected to pick up. It is understood that the spring system of supply and marketing cooperatives nitrogen inventory fell 5 million 140 thousand tons, a decline of 35%. The participants thought that the lower social inventory for spring urea market supply left a bit of suspense, or will bring a number of market opportunities.
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