Compound fertilizer stocking spring or slowly advancing into the best time of the year
To late 3, the fertilizer market gradually started, compared with previous years, the volume of equipment or both are the decline in sales, dealer performance was a little hesitant. At this stage, the fertilizer market downturn, the main problem is that a lot of inventory, inadequate funding, weak agricultural prices row, the market performance is not so active. Price, due to the lack of effective support, fertilizer prices Dongchu prices fell 50-100 yuan / ton, which is a phenomenon in the past did not appear; Similarly, the demand for fertilizer shortage situation also affected the upstream raw materials price and sales. Even so, perhaps the best time of year is probably only in the spring.
Prices fell more than expected
A few years ago, the price will rise after winter storage, this year prices have not risen, but relatively stable, while fertilizer prices this spring, but there does not appear the phenomenon of so many years, many manufacturers have adjusted prices in February, down the range of 50-100 yuan / ton, in the proper season fertilizer prices actually go down, it is also contrary to all people in the industry expected. In this regard, Hubei Province of agricultural production Group Limited - three managers Chu Feng Trading Co., Ltd. fertilizer fertilizer Hubei He Xianwen explained: "Overall, since the new year, stocking the market enthusiasm down a lot, the price is also less than ideal, the overall market sentiment is not very positive reason is mainly because: First, lower prices of agricultural products hit farmers growing grain, coupled with China's grain prices are likely with international prices, which would mean that food prices have continued to slide space, agriculture, farmers do not make money, then, is bound to reduce agricultural inputs; the second is the source of insufficient supporting force, this time concentrated urea delivery causing prices go up slightly, but its upstream coal and oil price is down, and after a period of time, will continue to slump urea, ammonium and potassium is the same, the port inventory is very large, the whole trend of raw materials prices are down. "
Manufacturers inventory pressure is not small
September 1 last year introduced VAT led many companies to increase promotional efforts, many wholesalers and retailers terminal at the time and took a lot of goods, so that now the hands of these people are still there last August shipment was not digested complete; the decline in agricultural prices in the second half of last year, making the fall of last year the stock market is quite sluggish, many manufacturers have a lot of inventory, supply and demand serious market saturation. He Xianwen said: "very serious indeed fertilizer product inventory, each manufacturer are a lot of inventory, and now has been in digestion, February digest a lot more than the lower stock market and now the whole atmosphere is not. active, reserve requirements if the terminal is actively words, the market revived. farmers have not begun to use fertilizer, Distribution recent progress, albeit slowly, but the volume still accounted for 70% -80%, with market information too transparent, terminal part dealers do not rush to buy fertilizer. "
Funding problems have long plagued
Credit has been the fertilizer industry sales of cancer is early to manufacturers under their own "set", had wanted to trap customers, but put her caught up. If credit means that he will take on more financial risk; if it does not sell on credit, sales will be affected. He Xianwen believes that funding has always been there, it will become a normal low prices of agricultural products in the future, that food prices will continue to slump, the price of fertilizer will also be long-term low, if farmers make money, more refuse cash transactions, credit will be on they have tempted the same, those retailers too, they will be asked to wholesalers on credit, many companies are trapped in a "credit money, no credit no sales," the dilemma, tumor removal will take some time.
Reporters observed
The industry believes that this year may be the most critical year for the industry reshuffle, but it also depends on the enforcement of the country, if only in slogans, then "to the capacity" can only stay in literally just shuffle national, and local governments involved in the industry, and guide the industry, eliminate backward production capacity, specification development.
This year's market will be very severe, occurs in many cases is more than expected in the agricultural people, the timeline spring market a little later, the thought would be as stable as fertilizer or in previous years, but the price of raw materials and do not hold the same, less than season began to decline, sales slow progress, compared to a decrease in delivery volume than in previous years, we are looking forward to have a peak, but whether this soon need to be patient. More sad is that, even if the spring market than in previous years, but according to the situation in some areas abandoned last winter, it is possible the best time is in the spring market.