Since 2016, overall domestic fertilizer market has not improved, the price of urea after continued to decline after the rebound, but phosphate fertilizer, potash fertilizer is still showing declines, compound fertilizer liability affected by the cost, the overall price downturn confusion. At present, the situation of fertilizer market can be summarized as: supply greater than the demand, the risk of operating. First, the market situation
International market: phosphate fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizer, potash fertilizer prices are presented, the price fell phenomenon, the average decline in the 30-40 U.S. dollars / ton. It can be said, through the international market to digest the domestic excess capacity is expected to be difficult to achieve in the short term.
Domestic market: the enterprise operating rate has not been significantly reduced, making the domestic excess capacity to further exacerbate the contradiction between supply and demand is further highlighted, the price all the way down.
The province's price: according to the province's six city (the ground) and eight county (city) agricultural market price monitoring, March 31, the province fertilizer retail price is "two up two down" trend, which urea (Daqing) 1 is lower than the same period of 14.3%; diammonium phosphate compared to the same period down 7.5%; potassium chloride rose 4.7% compared to the same period; chlorine based compound fertilizer (45%), compared to the same period rose 3.7%; sulfur based compound fertilizer (45%), compared to the same period fell by 1.5%.
Two, the reserve situation
As of April 8th, the provincial enterprises of chemical fertilizer delivery 1 million 798 thousand tons, than the same period last year (hereinafter referred to as the same period) decreased by 17.1%.
Three, problems and suggestions
From the point of view of prices, is expected to corn prices is a foregone conclusion, soybean subsidy policy has not been published yet, the price of rice is also the trend of Cheng Mingwen Anjiang. Coupled with the purchasing power of farmers to reduce, enthusiasm for growing grain decreased and fertilizer use "zero growth" policy oriented, resulting in chemical fertilizer demand reduction is a foregone conclusion.
In addition, fertilizer and other 19 industries will be included in the compression of the bank to withdraw from the industry, the new loan will be limited. If the latter part of the bank loan off, some manufacturers of capital chain rupture, the risk of payment and cooperation in the upstream and downstream individual manufacturers will be further intensified.
Faced with the current fertilizer manufacturers and circulation areas may face financial chain tension, we must always pay close attention to the prevention and control of risk. We should also actively research methods and ideas, to maintain a reasonable inventory, orderly production, active sales, to attract free funds, so that there is preparation, there is the layout, do not panic. To give full play to the role of marketing, develop a reasonable and strict marketing strategy. Mining customer demand, and lead the demand, active marketing, play an advantage to win the market.