The main October ammonia Market Volatility in the near future, the market has experienced a wave of price, since mid October, the market rebounded rapidly warming and fermentation, such as the Hebei Shijiazhuang area factory acceptance ammonia turnover reference price by 1850 yuan / ton rose to 2000 yuan / ton, visible or larger; East China market also rose up to 100-130 yuan / ton about; the central market rose 90-120 yuan / ton, other regions have different ranges of prices.

　　The reason, one is the raw material coal prices rose sharply; on the other hand, the local market is environmental protection inspection strictly, ammonia enterprises operating rate decreased; furthermore, urea, methanol market better, ammonia Market support.

　　Ammonia enterprises most of the country's production of raw coal, coal prices and the wave amplitude, speed, and other make ammonia with coal as raw material and chemical fertilizer manufacturers since October in most areas be taken by surprise, the coal price in 100-200 yuan / ton, the local has reached 300 yuan / ton, and there is still liquid ammonia manufacturers said coal are rising space, means that the cost of ammonia manufacturers will continue to increase, the sales price will be gone". In addition to the upstream pressure on the cost of support, sharply rising price of urea is one of the main factors of ammonia surged, while urea said the wave of price reasons, is nothing more than raw coal prices, freight increases, or is Xinjiang low-cost supply of transport is blocked, urea manufacturers operating rate is low, tight supply market on prices; such as the Shandong area small granular urea mainstream factory price continued to rise to 1380 yuan / tons, turnover of only slightly lower, the Jiangsu area small granular urea mainstream factory price has reached 1430-1450 yuan / ton, made of urea prices continued to rise in support, some manufacturers will focus on production urea market. In addition, the local area such as the Hubei environmental protection inspection strictly, ammonia enterprises to limit production or discontinued, most manufacturers put the amount of ammonia and methanol significantly reduced, prices rose steadily, East China local ex factory price has reached 2350-2390 yuan / ton, so some alcohol manufacturers focus is also shifting. Overall, these factors make the whole industry ammonia enterprises operating rate decreased, Jan Huojin price become the market mainstream.

　　But many favorable factors have obvious bad, the downstream demand, on the one hand is the enterprise of chemical industry, power plant and so on ammonia needs more smooth, the price impact is temporary; on the other hand is the flow of liquid ammonia fertilizer, ammonium chloride in small nitrogenous fertilizer enterprises operating rate is high, but the phosphate fertilizer enterprises operating rate is slightly lower. The demand is not very much, look at the flow of compound fertilizer the largest enterprises operating rate is low, according to rough statistics about 37% fertilizer network, the overall delivery quantity has not increased significantly, to compound fertilizer enterprises operating rate has picked up, can only wait for the meeting after the adjustment of phosphate fertilizer.

　　Effect of liquid ammonia key price trend is the relationship between supply and demand, analysis the current tight supply of liquid ammonia from above, and especially in the northern region because of the cold weather objective factors, may be difficult to carry out continuous production, so that the overall ammonia industry operating rate may continue to decline, the surrounding area will broaden the market of liquid ammonia. In general, support factors of liquid ammonia market this wave of market improvement and warming of the larger, the next market is expected to continue to improve, the price to rise type small step jogging; but at the same time the need to remind manufacturers of liquid ammonia, should always pay attention to changes in production of upstream raw material prices, the downstream enterprises, adjust its construction that can be reduced to some extent due to the impact of price fluctuations caused by the oblivious to their.