In previous years, phosphate fertilizer fertilizer market into the winter reserves immediately after the period of fertilizer, and this year, in this period still have to wait, compound fertilizer is still trading flat period, even if the price of urea rose, compound fertilizer manufacturers are also very price will, but downstream terminal operators and do not buy it, they are more cautious than usual. Current enterprises offer more to maintain the early offer, 45% sulfur based compound fertilizer ex factory price in 1800-2100 yuan / ton, 45% chlorine based compound fertilizer factory price in 1600-1750 yuan / ton.
Fall reserve sales double decrease
A season has ended, generally reflect the dealers for this season is a normal reserve, no surprises for profit; in the competition, survive in their fighting. In previous years, the sales plan reserves, but the amount has been reduced. According to the Shandong Yao Jiaxiang County for the fertilizer business department Yao Yuanmin said: "in the past by fertilizer is 3 months to prepare, get some goods each month, and this year autumn preparation fertilizer manufacturers in August, because of a low price policy, so this month in disposable reserves many manufacturers until late after the price adjustment, because the downstream retailers do not accept, so we have no replenishment." This season, the majority of dealers reserves are relatively reduced, in recent years the market led to the dealer operation are very cautious, not leftovers for the main purpose. Yao Yuanmin said: "this season, although the reserve amount is reduced, but my goods are sold out, no leftovers."
Winter storage will be ushered in the longest waiting
Last year, many dealers have said no reserves, the same, this year decided not to reserve the dealer in the increase. Recently, the price of urea some turbulence, but dealers do not buy it, they only watch the shot. Yao Yuanmin said: "recently, although coal prices rose more, to the price of urea in the cost to support, but as the country gradually attach importance to environmental protection, and Urea Export is not satisfactory, so we in the latter part of the price and the market price of urea is not optimistic, this year will not reserve urea. As for the compound fertilizer, although there will be greenhouse vegetable demand in winter, but the amount is very small, so do not intend to reserve compound fertilizer."
Reporters found that manufacturers have felt the negative effect of stock dealers, they also began to take the initiative to reduce production, improve the factory price, less to sell more profits to prepare for winter storage. Because the logistics fast, so a conservative estimate of the north after the Spring Festival market will have loose or compound fertilizer.
Change the transaction model for self-help
This credit for agricultural people self digging transaction mode ultimately makes dealers very passive, and engaged in crop farmers demand is more and more simple, really entangled in the fields of farmers are not many, with the work of farmers increased, the elderly and women left behind requirements are very practical, which mainly depends on the choice of products whether dealers "credit + product medium price + delivery, even to fertilization, allows them to land management investment is reduced to the minimum. On credit, Yao Yuanmin said: "before the credit, later found that the account is too difficult, 3 years ago or modified for cash, I put my profits down, the downstream terminal operators also recognized the market share is not reduced."
Reporter observation
In winter, the industry gives a reserve reason: the shortage of resources, lack of supplies, reserve in advance to prepare in advance to reserve a lucrative possible period of want or need. Since 2007, China has become an exporter of chemical fertilizer and material abundance.
In recent years, the market is weak down, mainly due to oversupply is the great wealth of material immutable and frozen, is a double-edged sword, is a fertilizer we can be self-sufficient, no longer dependent on imports, farmers can choose products; two is the price slump, profits shrink. From the deep point of view, the state is the ample supply of love it, that is to say the market out of the goods will not be reduced, but this market is likely to continue for a long time. So manufacturers will break the deadlock? In addition to profits, manufacturers can do what? In fact, the most important is the demand side, will let people farming agricultural people, understand the management of land, which is represent the general trend. Agricultural enterprises will fully enter the agriculture ready.