The negative factors in the current urea market gradually increased, trapped in the price spiral. This thought by urea fertilizer can moderate summer rose, but did not expect the downstream manufacturers and dealers to purchase a new single is not concentrated, the lack of follow-up, such as the recent market prices is short, only a week, more general price of urea fell 20-60 yuan / ton, Inner Mongolia, Shanxi and even part of the transaction price fell to 1370-1400 yuan according to the actual price / ton; from the grassroots wholesale market learned has been relegated to secondary, because the terminal has no purchase, are often upside down phenomenon, including large and small particles, the functional urea sales price etc..
At present, the price of urea down rate increase, then why autumn compound fertilizer production, pricing, sales of urea are imminent, precarious market, the price in the vortex?
On the one hand, agricultural demand is over. The domestic market of corn, rice fertilizer has ended, primary dealers take the volume has been very little, some areas have no new single follow-up, such as understanding from the regions of Xinjiang and Ningxia, the majority of dealers in Shandong and Inner Mongolia to agricultural fertilizer has ended, because has been to come with the mining, according to the order so, early purchase of fertilizer is also basic sales, there is little inventory; urea manufacturers low-cost part of the main producing areas of operating rate is high, demand is low, most can only be sent to the sources such as Xinjiang Province, part of the brand outside the factory only issued urea 1160 yuan / ton, Inner Mongolia part of the urea plant issued only 1360-1370 yuan / tons, and individual manufacturers have fed marketing executive.
Two is the compound fertilizer and so on industrial demand is not good. On the one hand, this part of the main producing areas of chemical fertilizer enterprises undergoing environmental inspection, especially some compound fertilizer enterprises was started, according to the Chinese fertilizer compound fertilizer manufacturers started to understand net rate of about 65% or less; and the raw material prices fluctuate, enterprise dense atmosphere, most areas in compound fertilizer production started slowly, even if some manufacturers introduced a new compound fertilizer price or offer a slight increase, but more preferential policies, and generally no actual transaction. On the other hand to see some other chemical needs, although the overall chemical demand in the proportion is not much, but the local fine chemical enterprises as part of the main producing areas in Shandong to demand the end of urea, has stopped production, and resume production until October, some dealers said: take the volume of urine was reduced by about 2/3; look at the prices often mentioned the poor farmers' income is not much, the dealer according to the market factor, dealers in the second half of the light storage attention degree is reduced, unless the price can be considered timely shot hunters to take the goods, these factors have increased the risk of urea price.
Three, there is no obvious support for the export market. The personage inside course of study looks forward to the market of urea high price to already had insufficient confidence, and by the closest influence element look, also confirmed the judgement that manufacturer confirms to urea market trend rationally. Of course, even by nearly a year since 2016 the export market, the international market performance has been unable to the domestic market in order to support good enough, India issued a letter of intent to purchase 355 thousand tons of urea, 40 thousand tons of urea, the Qatar $190 FOB Iran, 205 thousand tons of urea, 110 thousand tons of urea 203.06-203.15 shore, the Middle East, $208.75 CIF, may bid a part of the goods, so that the total scalar is close to 700 thousand tons, the goods did not come from Chinese urea, even if the remaining amount from China goods, will be at a lower price, quantity and price are not favorable to the domestic market.
Overall, the urea market is experiencing the off-season test, manufacturers suffered the price of torture, then due to the impact of various factors of bad price will be frequent, but also need to pay attention to the influence of environmental inspection efforts and progress for urea market.