In mid August, after the first wave of hot autumn collection, fertilizer market into the flat, the new single increase slowly, the majority of enterprises in the implementation of the outgoing orders, general can be sent to the mid to late 8, according to the China fertilizer network is not fully understood, the first wave of most market autumn fertilizer play money only in previous years, accounted for about 60%-70%, so the rest of the market demand, why don't you see a large area to start?
First of all, the cost of raw materials has increased, so why not see the price of compound fertilizer go up? Compared with the same period last year, the price of raw materials of nitrogen phosphorus and potassium increased, especially ammonium phosphate and potassium sulfate prices also rebounded, mainstream of the Hubei area 55% powder ammonium factory price in 1850-1900 yuan / ton, compared with the beginning of the July, rose 100-150 yuan / ton; subject to environmental impact. The operating rate of potassium sulfate significantly reduced, prices rebounded, now 50% powder mainstream factory price 2500 yuan / ton, 52% particles and water soluble powder in 2650-2700 yuan / ton, according to the understanding of the mainstream transaction reference to 2650 yuan / ton in the left and right, early 2600 yuan / ton price has mostly disappeared; although recently the price of urea fell sharply, small particles of Shandong rivers area has dropped to 1450 yuan / ton, compared with the same period last year, is still high, but the price of fertilizer of wheat this year but did not rise sharply, is subject to the Market demand light, shipment pressure and so on, so although the cost of raw materials increased significantly, and compound fertilizer companies offer but not high.
Secondly, the surplus demand space should be started and the low price chemical fertilizer will be produced. Experienced a wave of receivables, most companies cancelled the discount policy, compound fertilizer price rose slightly disguised 30-50 yuan / ton, but the actual significance is not large, mainly due to the price of urea fell sharply, many dealers stopped again by fertilizer steps, holding a wait-and-see attitude, so most of the current business still in the implementation of pre orders, the new single increase scanty (except Anhui, Hubei and other nearby areas fall fertilizer requirement to take the goods slightly better, compound fertilizer enterprises in most areas take the goods are not ideal), at the same time, enterprises have tried a variety of methods to stimulate the demand of the market, some enterprises introduce low-cost explosive goods, some enterprises speculation rose, rose intends to promotion, but the downstream preparation fertilizer did not show significant growth progress.
Finally, environmental protection is a double-edged sword, and disadvantages. After August, the environmental inspection group stationed in the chemical fertilizer enterprises throughout the country, especially in Shandong and Sichuan and other regions more stringent, Shandong most small compound fertilizer enterprises have been shut down, large compound fertilizer enterprises to reduce the operating rate, so some people may ask, environmental protection has brought fertilizer prices last year, this year will also be the case? On the one hand, under the pressure of environmental protection, the production capacity of compound fertilizer enterprises decreased, the supply of local phenomena, on the other hand, due to the reduction of supply demand did not appear nervous state, local land transfer area, field crops to cash crops, reduce fertilizer demand, such as wheat planting area of Hebei local area to grow vegetables and other economic crops in addition, food prices are still low, grass planting enthusiasm is not high, so the fall of fertilizer demand does not appear the phenomenon of hot grab the goods, so there is no fertilizer price reason.
Overall, this year a part of compound fertilizer enterprises are faced with the choice of life and death, a part of the enterprise directly into the long-term parking, some enterprises there is a shortage of funds, some enterprises at the cost of struggling, the main reason is that on the one hand, the prices of raw materials, environmental protection and other factors, the cost increase, corporate profits have been suppressed and thin, even individual formula sold below cost; on the other hand, the market demand, fertilizer price is rising, but around the cost line, compound fertilizer enterprises walk on the edge, to survive in the cracks, the end can see is the real effect of compound fertilizer production capacity to come.