In July, the market of compound fertilizer was relatively strong, supported by the cost of raw materials. But recently, the price of urea, one of the important raw materials of compound fertilizer, fell sharply, which made the industry become increasingly bearish on the compound fertilizer market. Insiders also said that the impact is not large, still optimistic about the latter trend.
"The current decline in the price of urea larger, according to monitoring the national average fell to more than 50 yuan per ton, which to some extent increased the wait-and-see mood of the market." Agribusiness analyst Zhang Hong said that the current compound fertilizer enterprises will be more attention to the new compound fertilizer products. In the past, farmers mainly use high phosphorus fertilizer in autumn, so the demand for urea in compound fertilizer enterprises is not large. On the whole, the decline in urea prices has had a limited impact on the compound fertilizer market."
Information Analyst Chen Hong expressed the same view in an interview with this reporter, "the price of urea fell sharply only in Shandong and other regions, the decline is not great. And the decline in the price of urea is only affecting the mentality of the market and traders take delivery of enthusiasm, the impact of compound fertilizer prices is not significant."
Chen Hong further analysis, said that in August is the time of concentrated fertilizer market shipments, regardless of whether the market price of compound fertilizer bullish or bearish, compound fertilizer prices have stabilized. "In July on the development of compound fertilizer enterprises and dealers price preferential policies, the first round play section has been completed; in August the enterprise mainly mainly to shipping, delivery to dealers, so it is sensitive to the price adjustment is not. Especially the July orders more enterprises, the shipment can be maintained until the end of August or early September."
In Zhang Hong's opinion, autumn fertilizer market mainly by high phosphorus fertilizer, the ammonium phosphate price highs, with strong support for compound fertilizer costs. Among them, 55% phosphate powder monoammonium phosphate mainstream factory price of 1850 yuan per ton, 64% diammonium phosphate mainstream factory price of 2250 yuan per ton.
Zhang Hong think, although compound fertilizer enterprise pre-sale performance is better, but its profit is very limited. The compound fertilizer enterprises continue to let pre-sale or to bear, so the price trend will not weaken the complex Hefei.
At present, 45% sulfur based compound fertilizer national mainstream price is 2000 yuan per ton, 45% chlorine based general fertilizer national mainstream price of 1700 yuan / ton to 1800 yuan / ton, compared with the same period last year rose 50 yuan per ton to 100 yuan, compared with July of this year rose 20 yuan per ton to 30 yuan. "From the above data, we can see that the overall price of compound fertilizer is not very large." Chen Hong said, at present, with the continuous progress of environmental inspection, Shandong and Sichuan and other parts of small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises have parking repair, affected by this, the future compound fertilizer shipments speed or slow down. "August, fertilizer enterprises basically no new orders, the recent need to pay attention to compound fertilizer enterprises start and shipment."."