In mid September, the Central Plains, North China autumn fertilizer shipment near the end, especially in Shandong and Hebei area, autumn fertilizer distribution amount most of compound fertilizer enterprises has reached 7-8%, but Jiangsu and Anhui and other areas are in the shipping season, is expected by the end of September and early October, the market will gradually fall fat end, but at this stage the fall of fertilizer market is not over yet, winter action in the local market has now started, so now is the best time not winter reserve fertilizer?
Doubt one: environmental protection continued pressure, compound fertilizer prices steady small rise. Since August, the environmental pressure continued to fall into the season and the demand for fertilizer, potassium sulfate compound fertilizer raw material prices rise, companies operating rate declined, the peak season demand amid supply slightly nervous, especially rose slightly raise the price 30-60 yuan / ton of sulfur based compound fertilizer by raw materials, fertilizer prices rose, environmental protection the strength increasing, which caused panic to the downstream, is not the late fertilizer prices soaring? Will environmental protection lead to late rush? After all, in the autumn, the tension between local and local goods is obvious to all.
Answer: in the market to buy or not to buy "psychological" everywhere, but the off-season prices, price season "shadow at the same time, after all, from now until next spring fertilizer intervals are long, seven or eight months, a lot of variables, but the" big nineteen "and the upcoming winter haze coming, environmental protection, safety inspection efforts will be more strict, so that before the Spring Festival, the price of fertilizers won't have the possibility of big; and the majority of compound fertilizer enterprises issued a policy meeting after the winter storage of phosphate and compound fertilizer, but excess capacity and basic demand change radically restricts the compound fertilizer prices, so no need to worry about rose and no goods, dealers only need to consider the enterprise in the right price and policy landing, on-demand procurement can be.
Question two: raw material prices rose in a comprehensive way, the cost of compound fertilizer increased significantly. The recent rise in coal prices, environmental pressure and boost India's bidding, urea prices, small granular urea mainstream of the Shandong, and other places of the factory price 1530-1560 yuan / ton; domestic and foreign demand is good, prices are also rising signs of diammonium phosphate, potassium sulfate and hydrochloric acid by environmental library expansion problems, rising prices is still in a stable, Mannheim process 50% powder mainstream factory in 2650-2700 yuan / ton, while the price of raw materials is high, compound fertilizer enterprises do not want to reserve and purchase, but if prices go up no longer even and stable, so the cost of fertilizer prices in the next quarter, the price will have a lot of compound fertilizer the cost of support, it is the lowest point not short-term compound fertilizer price is suitable for winter storage to take the goods?
Answer: according to survey China fertilizer, urea prices fluctuate, the price of potassium is difficult to rise again, large compound fertilizer enterprises in advance reserves of raw materials and low perennial cooperation partnership, locking the cost of raw materials, so recently has been part of compound fertilizer enterprises tentatively introduced Dongchu quotation and policy, one is in order to advance the operation, to seize the market two; is the recovery of part of the funds, to prepare for the winter production, such as individual enterprise 45%s (12-18-15) of the provisional Dongchu factory price in 1930-1960 yuan / ton, no interest and no outright guarantee, according to the current cost of raw materials, the price is more suitable for winter storage, but the preparation of fertilizer for the next six months long time it is difficult to determine, is the lowest price, after the Spring Festival market still need to pay close attention to it.
In summary, compound fertilizer enterprises to give downstream eat a reassurance, if the price is reasonable, can be in the near future a small amount of reserves, just in case of tight supply, grab the goods, but also a large demand behind the waiting for the right time according to the need to purchase, because most of the compound fertilizer enterprises winter storage prices and policies has not yet been fully introduced, the mainstream price is not yet clear recently, so still need to be cautious, pay close attention to the market.