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One ammonium does not fall, should rise
Source:China fertilizer network   Time:2017-09-19   Read:555second  

A resurgence of ammonium half a month after the price waves, recently heard that Hubei Dachang to push up the price of ammonium, about 20-30 yuan (ton price, the same below) near, only a few manufacturers will offer 55% powder ammonium from 1800 yuan to 1820-1830 yuan, the price adjustment will also have heard of Sichuan, but as of press time not implemented. At present, 55% powder ammonium Shandong acceptance warehousing price of around 1950 yuan, low-end 1920-1930 yuan, is expected to gradually increase as companies offer, low-end quotations will gradually disappear. Recently, some traders believe that an ammonium price may rise, the intention to purchase part of ammonium. But why is there a low season does not fall against the rise of the situation?
Ammonium enterprises believe that there are two main reasons:
First, the company recently no inventory pressure. Some believe that with the gradual end part of environmental inspection, compound fertilizer enterprises slowly started to replenishment, leading to various parts of a left ideal of ammonium goods, although the volume is not particularly large, but the enterprise to order gradually increased, at least until the end of the month, some enterprises because of the geographical advantages of orders can be connected to October in the early. The previous year, an enterprise is always easy to ammonium backlog of inventory, which bring a lot of pressure to the enterprise itself, but this year the enterprise restructuring started, adjust production plan, will be a temporary poor type ammonium unit needs proper production, making enterprises basically no inventory, delivery is acceptable, it brings the initiative to ammonium.
Two, the latter part of the enterprise there are maintenance plans. A company called ammonium in recent months to order more, the device has been operating in the "working overtime", the basic needs of autumn end, business plan has not yet started in the winter when demand intention at the beginning of October before and after overhaul 20 days, when ammonium operating rate will be reduced, the overall supply will decrease. If the rate of operation starts to decline sharply and the demand for the Northeast starts early, there may be a shortage of supply of ammonium.
It is in view of the enterprise, the recent traders also optimistic expectations of an ammonium ammonium sulfur, they think raw materials continued to rise, and also because the price of liquid ammonia sulfate environmental inspection and other reasons to rise, so the price of ammonium might rise, they are getting goods will soon. This is the lowest price of sulfur in April, to the port of Wanzhou port sulphur and Puguang sulfur prices rose 200 yuan or more, especially in the past two months to rise more fierce, but also promote the sulfur prices low and strong outside the port inventory etc.. Liquid ammonia prices have remained high in recent months. Currently estimated Hubei 55% powder ammonium high-end cost approaching 1800 yuan.
In conclusion, although the companies and traders have a price of ammonium reason, prices may indeed make a shipment of ammonium is better, but also consider the winter demand early release is not a good thing, needs to release early, really is a season, a price of ammonium will drop? Therefore, the latter should focus mainly on the operation of an ammonium enterprise, the real demand for an annual winter demand, and the factors such as grain prices and the winter harvest of compound fertilizer enterprises.

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