Urea market volatility should not before the Spring Festival, part of the factory price ceiling, had little effect, then some manufacturers which borrow slightly more collection time, quietly prices, the downstream market of industrial goods mood is not high, agricultural dealers reserves not stopped or reserves, grassroots is "abandon" the price is too high and not be moved therefore, this wave of price of urea is modest, but the lack of power, range. Look at the market of liquid ammonia, ammonia downstream enterprises receiving significantly reduced the amount of ammonia production enterprise shipments difficult, prices continued to fall, the cumulative rate of 150-250 yuan / ton, in the special period of the Spring Festival holiday the next downstream in succession, to save the "fall" has been largely depend on the urea ammonia.

The ammonia production enterprise is a pressing matter of the moment in the near end time of liquid ammonia, do not intend to reduce the load, to maximize the benefits, so much the price of liquid ammonia within a week is "low fall" degree, the cumulative rate generally at 150-250 yuan / ton, according to the manufacturer to reflect, urea and other chemical products more than words, manufacturers profit margins of ammonia is bigger; but usually, ammonia cannot inventory, if prices continue to fall, the market will face the abyss.

Next, the liquid ammonia market will face the following problems. One is the Spring Festival approaching, the high speed of hazardous goods traffic restrictions, the manufacturers due to the transport of liquid ammonia is limited, especially in North China, East China and other regions may be more serious, the enterprise backlog of inventory will be increased; two is the downstream demand is bleak, chemical fertilizer demand, demand significantly reduce, most small nitrogenous fertilizer enterprises have normal production, but the overall demand is not much, the main flow of compound fertilizer enterprises operating rate fell to about 46.16%, especially some large compound fertilizer enterprises during the Spring Festival or reduce production load, either in advance with ample reserves of raw materials, the next will reduce the demand for raw materials; three is the logical the price cut, according to the statistics of North China market ammonia cumulative decline of 150 yuan / ton, East China market, the cumulative decline of 130-230 yuan / ton, in other areas also There is a sharp decline, and prices will continue to fall before the Spring Festival.

In contrast, urea prices slightly better, although the primary distribution of the overall market demand is not much, but South market such as Guangdong and Guangxi after the terminal will continue to reflect the dealers to buy fertilizer; urea enterprises operating level has been in a low position, some large agricultural dealers reserve cash limited, and some views on the outlook of the nitrogen fertilizer dealers is more optimistic, if the start of spring demand, local supply may be tight; after the Spring Festival, with the downstream production enterprises have been liberalized, the procurement of raw materials will be increased, then take the goods urea will increase, estimated before the Spring Festival will not have slashed the price of urea, or after the period.

In the face of the price of liquid ammonia that has not stopped falling, it is urgent to seize the last straw to relieve the degree of its fall. As everyone knows, is the most effective way to reduce production load, from two aspects, one is the ammonia enterprises parking, but so far it is understood that the majority of enterprises will not choose completely ammonia parking, but to some extent reduce the load; two is the production transferred to other urea methanol or methanol, and a weak market, companies are unlikely to production of methanol, therefore depends on the urea market rescue, according to the majority of manufacturers said recently will gradually increase urea production to reduce ammonia shipments.

Overall, the recent ammonia prices fell sharply, but not all enterprises to digest inventory has decreased significantly in the early spring festival to the downstream procurement under the condition of normal; during the Spring Festival is expected in the ammonia each plant inventory pressure will save in urea under slightly eased, but the price is still can not escape the fate.