In recent years, the price of urea has continued to rise slightly. At present, the price of urea storage in Linyi compound fertilizer plant in Shandong has risen to about 2020 yuan per ton. The rise of urea is mainly due to the stable downstream industrial production, and the current prices are accepted by the grass-roots agriculture. The continued small amplitude.

The price of one ammonium is also rising in the near future. The price rises before May 1. The price of one ammonium in Hubei, Sichuan, Henan and other places is up to about 50 yuan per ton. At present, the price of Hubei 55% is up to 2100 yuan / ton, and the low end factory of 55% powder ammonium in Sichuan factory The price is up to 2050 yuan / ton.

There are three main reasons for the rise in the price of ammonium: 1. The factory operating rate is low. At present, the overall operating rate of an ammonium monoammonium enterprise is low, only about 4, especially in the Hubei area. Most of the small factories have been shut down due to environmental pressure. 2, the number of enterprises waiting to be issued. Recently, it was learned that some enterprises in Hubei and Henan began to suspend their orders, and the order for delivery was over 10000 tons, at least until the end of the month. 3, there are signs of improvement in the market of raw materials. The price of sulphur and sulphur in the port has risen steadily in the near future. At present, the price of Puguang Wanzhou port has risen to 1100 yuan / ton, and the sulphur in the port of the Yangtze River also rises to 1145 yuan / ton; the price of synthetic ammonia has rebounded, and the price of the early Hubei enterprises is less than 3000 yuan / tonne, and the recent price has risen to 3000 yuan / ton.

But is the price of an ammonium increase really stable? In fact, there are also negative aspects of supply, demand and raw material costs.

First of all, the operation rate of ammonium is not likely to remain so low for a long time. The industry shows that from now to mid June, the overall construction rate of one ammonium should be gradually pushed up to about 7 percent of the normal level. The heavy production of Hubei big factory in the early period is gradually resuming normal operation in the near future. The large factory in Sichuan has maintained full load production. The shutdown enterprise is expected to resume normal life gradually after the middle of this month. Production, unless the environmental protection is very strong, otherwise the operating rate will gradually recover. Now, the summer fertilizer market is started in advance, and there are some complex mast factories in the lower reaches of the lower reaches, which will begin to make up the stock ahead of time in advance. The price of ammonium is difficult to sit steadily.

Secondly, the raw material market in the short term should not change much. In the near future, the sulphur market is still available and a steady upward trend is ahead, with a small increase in the upward trend. With the gradual recovery of the start rate of the one ammonium enterprise, the sulfur market should not have a big rise and fall. It has little effect on the cost of mono ammonium; the price of phosphate rock has remained stable since the large area of mining in March. If there is no big environmental pressure, there should be no big change in the market.

Again, the enterprises to send orders will gradually decrease, the above known enterprises to be issued orders about 20 days or so, the price increases after the new single volume less, demand can not keep the price of one ammonium difficult to sit.

At last, the ratio of ammonium to one ammonium is not large. As we all know, the demand for monammonium is mainly in the domestic market, and the proportion of exports is small. According to customs data, the cumulative export volume of one ammonium in China is only 338 thousand tons in the month of 1-3, which is equivalent to the production of a large factory for two months.

In short, in the short term, the surface of an ammonium market is bright, the price has risen half a month or so. It is reported that the real trading volume after the rise is not large. In addition, the above reasons can be seen that the price of one ammonium may rise, and the actual actual transaction still has the possibility of maintaining stability.