In mid May, the demand for maize fertilizer in the Central Plains is in the peak demand season. In addition to the sufficient reserve of fertilizer in the lower reaches of Shandong, high nitrogen fertilizer in two rivers, Jiangsu, Anhui and Hubei is still the hottest fertilizer in demand, at least half a month of sustainable fertilizer demand. Can we look forward to this year?

First, the price of urea is high, and the price of high nitrogen fertilizer is supported. Since the beginning of May, the price of urea has risen slightly. At present, the price of small particles in Shandong area has been quoted at about 1960-2030 yuan / ton, and the price has remained high. The main reason is that it is affected by the low position. The supply of urea is reduced because of environmental inspection and the equipment maintenance of some enterprises. The two is the smooth sales of enterprises. It is still intentional to raise the price. According to the analysis of China's fertilizer network, the urea market in May is generally optimistic, the possibility of falling prices before the end of May is not very likely. Such a long high price is very rare in recent years, but the strong nitrogen price is a favorable support to the high nitrogen fertilizer currently in demand, although the market is now high. The price of nitrogen fertilizer has not risen sharply, but the volume of grain consumption has been ideal.

Secondly, compared with last year, the high nitrogen fertilizer market is going well. In May last year, the price of urea was low. The price of small particles in Shandong's two river areas was quoted at 1480-1540 yuan per ton, although there was a rebound. But the long-term trend of urea was weak. The price of high nitrogen fertilizer was down. The price of 40%cl (28:6:6)'s main outflow factory fell from 1700-1850 yuan / ton to 1620-17. 50 yuan / ton, even listen to the 40% chlorine base high nitrogen fertilizer price of small plant fall to about 1550-1580 yuan / ton; and this year, the whole May, the urea market all the way up, the price of high nitrogen fertilizer is relatively strong, 40%cl (28:6:6) main stream price is around 1950-2000 yuan / ton, up 200-300 yuan / ton compared to the last year, if the later urea price If the price goes up all the way, the price of high nitrogen fertilizer will also increase this year.

Finally, it remains to be seen whether the surplus demand of corn fertilizer is limited and whether it can rise. In the near future, the price of raw material nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium is on the line. According to the current raw materials, the cost of the pure raw material of 40% chlorine base high nitrogen fertilizer is about 1666 yuan / ton. According to the current market quotation, the price of the high nitrogen fertilizer factory has been close to the cost price. If the raw material urea and so on continues to rise, it is subject to the cost pressure and some enterprises are under the pressure. It will adjust the price of high nitrogen fertilizer, but at present, after all, the demand is the main contradiction. In recent years, the demand of compound fertilizer is decreasing year by year, the flood of low price chemical fertilizer and the evasion of credit are all affecting the high nitrogenous market, so the price of high nitrogen fertilizer will remain basically stable in the short term. The trend is still in the late stage, and there is still room for observing raw material trends, start-up conditions and market demand.