In June, the weather entered the hot period, the small people living in the north also felt the heat wave of the temperature. Is the recent compound fertilizer market as hot as the weather? There are rumors that the price of compound fertilizer will increase by 60-80 yuan per ton in June. Will it be a dream come true?

First of all, the cost of compound fertilizer is increasing with the diversification of raw materials. The price of urea has fallen back in the near future. The price of the main stream of small particles in Shandong area is about 1960-1990 yuan per ton. Although there is a fall, the price is still at a high level. The price of the urea main stream in the south is still at 2000 yuan / ton, and the demand for fertilizer is still in the lower middle of 6, and the low level of the urea social stock on the market is still low. An opportunity to rebound; one ammonium quotation is stable, the price of Hubei 58% powder monoammonium main stream is quoted at about 2350 yuan per ton, the actual factory is 2250 yuan / ton or slightly lower, but the factory is mainly for the early order, the large factory starts low, the parking small factory is still not restored to production, the source is still relatively tight; the news of the price rise of potash fertilizer in Saline Lake has been finalized. At 100 yuan / ton, there is a certain preferential policy. Overall, the production cost of compound fertilizer has indeed increased, but the demand for fertilizer in summer is coming to an end. The price of high nitrogen corn fertilizer will not fluctuate too much.

Secondly, when summer and autumn replace, demand is in low season. For compound fertilizer, June is an awkward period. The demand for fertilizer in summer is approaching to the end, and the demand for autumn fertilizer is still away from the time. According to the usual practice, this is the stage of the compound fertilizer enterprise, but this summer, the demand for fertilizer is lagging behind and the fall fertilizer demand is ahead of the autumn, preparing the compound fertilizer enterprise to produce the autumn fertilizer. Time is not much, the wheat fertilizer demand in Anhui and other parts of the region will be started in late 6 months, so this year, the compound fertilizer enterprise has become very busy. Therefore, there is a certain possibility of rising price of compound fertilizer in the low season, but in the middle of June, only the compound fertilizer enterprises began to prepare the raw material and production work of autumn fertilizer. The new price and policy of the fall fertilizer will be brewing in succession in the fall.

Finally, if the price of compound fertilizer can be realized, we need to see the voice of demand. For the enterprise, the rise of the cost is bound to restrict the price rise, but the rise of the price should also pay attention to the acceptance of the market. In May this year, there is more rain, the yield of wheat is low, and the problem of red mould disease and imperfect grain in Anhui, Hubei and Henan areas is serious, and the base layer fund is difficult to return to the next step. Seasonal fertilizer reserves are bound to have a certain impact, and most areas are still in time with fertilizer, so high-end quotations or prices will have no market. After a market baptism, the fall fertilizer preferential policy will follow the introduction, so it is said that the real realization of the price rises depends on the acceptance of the market.