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Is urea called a short term not rising or falling?
Time:2018-07-31   Read:624second  

In this week, the demand for agricultural tail in Shandong and Northern and northern parts of Jiangsu and Northern Anhui was driven, with the gradual downregulation of the start rate, the quotations from Shandong and two rivers were small upward. At present, 1840-1870 yuan (ton price, the same), the mainstream compound fertilizer enterprises in Linyi area were about 1890 yuan. The price of urea main stream in Hebei is 1820-1860 yuan, and the price of the mainstream urea plant in Henan is 1840-1855 yuan. The main main plants in the three regions are mostly due to the low production in the near future, as well as the demand in some areas, and the balance of production and marketing is basically maintained. The planned production of the enterprises in the short term has a clear flow of flow. Sales pressure was temporarily relieved, but the demand for the agricultural market was short. Even after the Soviet and Anhui provinces, the overall agricultural demand would end after the mid August, and the urea market was clear.


First of all, the temporary low position is the cornerstone of the urea price decline. According to China chemical fertilizer network statistics, as of the end of the week, the national urea industry start rate fell to 53.89%, most enterprises have entered the state of limited production and shutdown maintenance. Before and after the middle of August, the rate of commencement of the urea industry is likely to be obvious. The market demand is limited, and the possibility of selling the market at low price will be more likely.


Secondly, the "chicken ribs" like industrial compound fertilizer demand. In recent years, the industrial plywood plant is on the low side, and the demand for urea is relatively low. Although some compound fertilizer enterprises in Hubei have collected more funds, but on the one hand, the transaction price is low, such as the higher price of urea (now the price of mono ammonium is already high), then it is also relatively unfavorable to the compound fertilizer enterprise. It is reported that in the near future, the low end of urea in Hubei area is about 1820 yuan to the factory price, which is mostly low price urea in Inner Mongolia and other places. For example, the factory price of the Shanxi area is only about 1700 yuan. On the other hand, the recent purchase of urea in the compound fertilizer enterprise is less than a few times. After the first purchase, the potential demand of the later period is consumed, and urea Under such circumstances, prices will be suppressed again and again. There is no sign of rising in short-term prices.


In conclusion, the demand of the domestic urea market is weak in the near future, and the market demand in southern Xinjiang is about to end in the near future. At that time, the urea source in Xinjiang will pour into the market and the supply of low price urea in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia and other places. It is expected that the price of urea will still be in danger of reducing the price of urea before the mid August. But in the near future, India urea bidding is on the line. With the price of the domestic urea market, the price of urea difference at home and abroad is not as unpopular as that in the previous period. In the current domestic and foreign market, the price of urea is expected to be 50-100 yuan of space without the injection of temporary factors before August 15th.

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