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What is the market like in the autumn replenishment stage?
Time:2018-09-28   Read:594second  

The domestic urea quotes are stable and small, and the new ones need to be followed up. Shandong small particle mainstream factory price 2000-2050 yuan / ton, Linyi market reference 2030-2040 yuan / ton, Heze reference 2020-2030 yuan / ton; Hebei local sales 2010-2050 yuan / ton, provincial delivery is low; Henan small and medium particle new single transaction 1980-2000 yuan / ton, Shangqiu market 2060 yuan / ton; Shanxi large and small particle stripping reference 1970-2010 yuan / ton, fire transport Control the order. Jiangsu and Anhui reference 2000-2080 yuan / ton, follow-up cautious downstream; Northwest stable operation, Gansu Auto Plant 1950-1980 yuan / ton. Sichuan and Chongqing enterprises have a strong mentality of selling with reference to 2150-2200 yuan / ton, and Guangxi urea market with reference to 2220-2230 yuan / ton.




At present, the domestic urea market is collated horizontally, and the industrial and agricultural demand is followed up on demand; the main manufacturer pre-receipt, the merchants follow up on demand. Zhuo Chuang expects the short term domestic urea market to be narrowed and collate properly.




Compound fertilizer: high price and light purchase




_Domestic compound fertilizer market in general, the northern autumn fertilizer farmers need to start, grassroots retail outlet inventory sales mainly, and farmers purchased fertilizer slightly reduced, purchasing and selling atmosphere is light. The price of raw materials in the upstream is generally high, and the cost of compound fertilizer is relatively high. Some fertilizer enterprises are still releasing the signal of price continuing to rise, so as to stimulate the enthusiasm of dealers to make money and prepare fertilizer. In addition, the progress of light storage in Northeast and South China is general. The sources of goods from other provinces come to the station one after another.




According to Zhuo Chuang's understanding, 42% CL (18-18-6) ex-factory price 2000-2200 yuan / ton, 45% CL (25-13-7) ex-factory price 2100-2300 yuan / ton; 45% S (14-16-15) Liaoning arrival price 2350-2400 yuan / ton in Northeast China; 45% S (15-15-15) actual ex-factory price 2350-2650 yuan / ton in Shandong; 45% S (15-15-15-15) actual ex-factory price in Anhui Province In Hubei, 45% S (15-15-15) actually leaves factory 2330-2400 yuan / ton; in Henan, 45% S (15-15-15) actually leaves factory 2300-2400 yuan / ton; in Jiangsu, 45% CL (15-15-15) actually leaves factory 1980-2100 yuan / ton.




Autumn fertilizer market is in the replenishment stage, high prices are few new orders, affected by weak demand, fertilizer enterprises and channel merchants to digest inventory, part of the fertilizer enterprises focus on winter fertilizer reserves, northeast provincial sources of foreign goods have arrived. Driven by the upward trend of raw material market, most compound fertilizer enterprises have raised their quotations. Zhuochang expects that before the end of the month, there are still some manufacturers prices to follow the rise, the implementation of new prices still need time, market-oriented.




Potassium sulphate: weak trading price and stability




The domestic potassium sulphate market is running steadily, and the new single transaction is still poor, causing a slight increase in enterprise inventories. During the period, the price of raw material potassium chloride slightly loosened, relieving the cost pressure of enterprises.




50% potassium sulphate powder in the north of China is 2 900 yuan / ton from the main factory, and the granules and 52% potassium sulphate powder are 3 050 - 3 100 yuan / ton from the factory. The transaction discount is about 50 yuan / ton. The supply of tobacco fertilizer orders in southern China is still acceptable, and most enterprises have no stock pressure at present, and the quotations vary greatly. 50% powder potassium sulfate factory price quoted 3000-3150 yuan / ton, the deal is negotiable. From the market analysis, 50% potassium sulfate powder of tobacco fertilizer in Yunnan, Fujian and Sichuan has won the bid price of 3150 yuan / ton, and the ex-factory price of the contract enterprise is 2950 - 3000 yuan / ton. Xinjiang Luo Potassium, the enterprise equipment, transportation are normal, and the order supply is still available, the price continues to be consistent with the earlier stage, that is, 51% potassium sulfate powder 3000 yuan / ton to the station, 52% potassium sulfate powder 3050 yuan / ton to the station; local dealers still have surplus stock, the actual transaction price is slightly lower.




Ammonium chloride: implementation of a stable market price in advance




_ammonium chloride Market receipts sufficient, more stable downstream pick-up, smooth shipment of enterprises, at present, most enterprises pre-receipts to the end of the holiday, the transaction is basically stable, the market is expected to smooth transition before the festival.




_Jiangsu area has a large preliminary yield, stable transaction, wet ammonium transaction reference 620-640 yuan / ton, dry ammonium factory transaction in 720 yuan / ton; Hubei plant is basically stable, wet ammonium seal, dry ammonium reference 720-730 yuan / ton; Sichuan area load is still fair, dry ammonium shipment smooth, quotation reference 700-730 yuan / ton; Henan area has a large preliminary yield, dry ammonium The factory was near 720 yuan / ton, and Shandong was sent to 760-810 yuan / ton. Zhuo Chuang data monitoring shows that the current domestic wet ammonium mainstream factory transactions 550-620 yuan / ton, dry ammonium mainstream transactions rose to 680-720 yuan / ton, restricting orders.




_Short-term implementation of the early-stage preliminary receipts of the joint alkali enterprises, the new single steady follow-up, short-term stable wait-and-see market mainly. Holiday approaching, stable shipment of enterprises the primary task, so Zhuochang anticipated that this week, ammonium chloride Market Trading stability, horizontal consolidation.

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