The fertilizer market during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period has not stopped. It is more appropriate for urea and potassium fertilizers to be free from hare and virginity, or for urea to be free from stalemate. In short, there has been a steady and sharp rise. It is really difficult for fertilizers to store in winter in 2018.

According to Zhong Fei net, the price of urea has risen sharply before and after eleven, and has increased by more than 100 yuan. At present, Shandong urea mainstream ex-factory quotation 2160-2180 yuan (tonnage price, the same below), Linyi area factory delivery price has also risen to more than 2200 yuan; Hebei urea mainstream quotation has risen to about 2200 yuan, up to 120-140 yuan. The urea wild horse runs out of control, mostly because of international markets, mainly a new round of bids from India, which are expensive and excludes Iranian supplies, and far more because of concerns about environmental protection and raw materials, mainly the tight supply of natural gas or a sharp drop in the start-up rate.

Similarly, China Fertilizer Network data show that around the Eleventh anniversary, potassium chloride, potassium sulfate mainstream quotations are completely stable, little change in the market. At present, 62% white crystal, white powder mainstream quotation 2450-2500 yuan, port 60% red particle mainstream quotation 2500 yuan or so (large particle prices high in the south, low in the north, large differences), 62% white crystal mainstream quotation 2300-2320 yuan, Qinghai 60% powder, crystal mainstream iron arrival quotation 2350 yuan, general sales, the actual transaction space of preferential space 0-50 yuan is not Mannheim 50% granules and 52% water-soluble powder mainstream ex-factory quotation about 3100 yuan, Luo potassium 51-52% powder for the agent of State Railway arrival quotation 3000-3050 yuan, Qinghai 50-51% powder quotation 2750-2850 yuan, are the main supply (agent) early stage, new orders are not strong, the actual transaction is mostly negotiable.

There are still some high-end quotations in the potassium chloride and potassium sulfate markets, but most of them are priceless, either out of stock, or forced to strengthen because of high costs. Potassium has been on the rise for some time in September before November, but it is undeniable that the market for potash is stable at least, temporarily not good but not bad.

In fact, the author took urea and potassium fertilizer together to write, but also highlighted the contrast between the two, which is not out of praise and derogation. "Sun Tzu, nine places": "it is like a virgin, the enemy opens an account; after a rabbit, the enemy can not refuse." "Quiet as a virgin, like a rabbit," was meant to mean that the army was as quiet and steady as an unmarried girl when it did not move, and that it acted as swiftly and rapidly as a rabbit when it flew away. So what I want to say is that potassium fertilizer is only temporarily stable, there is still the possibility of further increase in the latter period, and the "switch" to move up, potassium chloride lies in the determination of tight supply, potassium sulfate lies in the release of demand.

It's almost a month since the big contract was signed, but there are still not many new ships in the port. The total stocks of potassium chloride in the port are only about 1.65 million tons, which is about 100,000 tons less than the same period of last year. Unfortunately, during the eleventh holiday period of the border trade market, we caught up with the concentrated arrival again, but because of the limited supply of goods, there is no downstream period. A marked fall in price. At the same time, the CIF price of large granular potassium in Brazil has risen to $340-350 in the international market. Although the standard CIF price in Southeast Asia has only risen to $280-300, which seems to be lower than our big contract, it is still obviously in the process of rising. Another accident in the East and the accident in the west, the supplier for "XX Month" The remarks on the sale of the goods before the sale are all very enjoyable.

Domestic potassium market production before the decline, recently began to transport constraints, as early as before the Eleventh Holiday has been an agent in advance to control the acceptance of orders to prevent late shipment is not timely. In October, the new price of Salt Lake Company canceled the preferential offer in September and the price remained unchanged, i.e. the actual price rose by 50 yuan. It is understood that the price difference between the official price of Salt Lake Potassium Chloride and the actual market price has narrowed to less than 50 yuan in the current market, compared with 50-100 yuan in the earlier period.

Therefore, it is difficult to increase the quantity of imported potassium chloride in a short period of time, and it is possible to limit the production and transportation of domestic potassium in winter. Prices may be stable for the first half of October, and it's possible for some big customers to get a slightly lower price, but it's unlikely that there will be an overall decline. During this period, if the increment of imports can not be found, then it will be possible to rise again before and after the end of the month.