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As December approaches, there is no real snow in Harbin, Northeast China. The dry and cold air blowing through the cheeks brings a little chill. The winter storage compound fertilizer market seems to be cold and dull. Most enterprises have not yet introduced winter fertilizer storage policy, wait-and-see, because of environmental pressure and other reasons, the overall start-up rate is not high, pending orders are not many, the high fluctuation of raw material prices has also brought some resistance to the introduction of new prices for compound fertilizer. Some purchasers of compound fertilizer enterprises claim that most of the raw materials are taken on demand in small quantities, and there is no intention of storing a large amount of raw materials in the near future.
Following is a brief description of the current situation of the market and purchasing of various raw materials for compound fertilizers.
Recent urea prices have not risen as a whole due to the printing of labels and the reduction of urea production after the end of November. At present, the prices of most enterprises are stable, only the quotations of individual enterprises in some areas have risen slightly, but it is also known that there is no market for urea. At present, the storage price of urea in Linyi, Shandong Province is between 2075 and 2080 yuan (the same price per ton) and the price difference at the beginning of last week. Not much, visible change range is not big. Urea agricultural demand is very light, downstream distributors dare not reserve a large amount in advance, mostly because the price of urea is unstable and the profit is relatively high. Compound fertilizer enterprises also believe that the risk of urea reserve is high, and the enterprise's own stock consumption of raw materials is slow, so they purchase in batches on demand.
Although the supply of ammonium chloride is relatively tight, the enterprises supply more early orders, but at the present stage, the new demand for raw material ammonium chloride in compound fertilizer enterprises is less, and the new plan of taking goods is not much. Recently, only heard that some large factories in Shandong have recently purchased thousands of tons of ammonium chloride.
Recently, the market of Monoammonium is weak. Although the ex-factory quotation of large factories in Hubei is strong, the actual ex-factory quotation has decreased by about 50 yuan compared with that before the Phosphorus Compound Fertilizer Conference. It is reported that 58% of ammonium powder actually accepts the ex-factory quotation near 2430 yuan; the inventory pressure of small factories in Hubei is gradually increasing, and 55% of ammonium powder low-end ex-factory quotation is as low as 2200 yuan; in other areas, the ex-factory quotation of ammonium powder has been reduced by 50 yuan. International manufacturer also declined accordingly, but the new single transaction has not yet warmed up. Northeast scale compound fertilizer enterprises purchased ammonium ahead of schedule. It is known that the arrival of ammonium varies from 4 to 70 percent in Northeast China. Therefore, the demand for ammonium in Northeast China is flat recently. Enterprises are not eager to replenish ammonium stocks, and some may wait until the Spring Festival to replenish ammonium. Compound fertilizer enterprises in Shandong and other places are affected by environmental pressure and consume ammonium as raw material. Inventory speed is slow, the remaining hard demand has not yet emerged, enterprises will take appropriate amount of goods according to their own situation, but a large number of concentrated situation should not appear for the time being.
At present, 62% white potassium mainstream quotation is about 2600 yuan, Lianyungang and other high-end quotation is 2650 yuan, but it is known that the actual turnover is not higher than 2600 yuan, the actual turnover is less than 2600 yuan, the volume is not large, and the compound fertilizer enterprises disappear. The stock of potassium chloride in the early stage of consumption is slow and the quantity of replenishment is small. It happens that Salt Lake is about to introduce a new price next month. Hearing about the plan to raise the price by 50 yuan again, the pre-purchase orders of compound fertilizer enterprises are mostly in execution, and the demand for raw potassium fertilizer is not much. Therefore, temporary wait-and-see is the main reason. Potassium sulfate Market is even worse, the price is difficult to rise, and the cost pressure is higher. Compound fertilizer enterprises have little intention to purchase potassium sulfate, and a small amount of replenishment is the main.
To sum up, the saying "plain is always true", but insiders do not want this statement to be reflected in the fertilizer market. Towards the end of the month, some compound mast factories will gradually introduce winter storage policies, expecting signs of revival in the fertilizer market. Later, attention should be paid to the resumption of construction and terminal of compound fertilizer enterprises in Shandong and other places. Market prices of agricultural and sideline products such as grain, etc.
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