The urea market is falling in price. It is known that 741,500 tons of urea have been successfully tendered. But is it possible that China's supply of urea has no chance to do so again? At present, urea market in China is weak, producers are under pressure, the price of industrial receipts is lowered, the enthusiasm of traders in purchasing is reduced, and the stock of some large agricultural investors is still digestible, and the basic market of terminal agriculture is priceless. Traders can't help feeling that the fluctuation of urea is a matter of minutes!

_said that the fluctuation of urea is a matter of minutes, Xiaobian imagined that the description is quite appropriate. Recent weakness in urea market is due to the weakening demand of both workers and farmers, the lack of market value at the wholesale level, the prudence of large traders, the decrease of purchasing enthusiasm and the difficulty in boosting industrial purchasing volume.

_Nearly 70% of the start-up is still on the rise, with sufficient supply. Environmental protection and safety inspection is no longer a new topic, and factories are always in it, so it is common for urea enterprises or other fertilizer enterprises to limit their production. According to the statistics of China Chemical Fertilizer Network, the overall industry start-up rate of urea enterprises is 64.1%, and then a few urea enterprises such as Ningxia and Anhui urea Enterprises are about to resume production, of course, there are also some individual small factories. Overall, urea start-up enterprises are far more than parking enterprises for short-term maintenance. Industry start-up shows a rising trend and supply continues to increase.

_. Demand is weak, urea market is bound to lack support, and prices are difficult to improve. On the one hand, large agricultural distributors are cautious in purchasing, especially in the environment of buying up and not buying down, and the wait-and-see mood is strong. With the adoption of the "pick-as-you-go" model, they become a powerful "shield" for distributors to reduce their operational risk; the terminal market is valuable, the enthusiasm of farmers to prepare fertilizer is reduced, the procurement progress is slow, and the planting structure of some areas has been adjusted, and the habit of using fertilizer has changed. Change. On the other hand, in the off-season demand of power plants in industry, plywood factories in the southern region are restricted by double pressures of environmental protection and safety inspection. The demand for urea is limited, and the demand for urea by the most promising compound fertilizer enterprises is also difficult to satisfy the manufacturers. The sale of compound fertilizer enters the off-season. According to the report, the overall receipt situation is slightly general, the production progress slows down, and the raw material fertilizer has "minor worries". Due to cost pressures, some compound fertilizer enterprises have reduced their start-up or parking, and urea purchases have decreased.

_. The international market is limited. Of course, the industry is most concerned about India's bidding. At the beginning of the article, it has mentioned the total amount of successful bidding up to now. It is still unknown whether China's urea has won the bidding. The CIF price of Indian East Coast Port is 285.7 US dollars/ton, the CIF price of West Coast is 279.74 US dollars/ton, the FOB price of China's large and small granular urea is 290-305 US dollars/ton, and the international and domestic urea prices are still out of line, together with the port price of about 20.33. Urea supply to be digested, export advantage is not large, for the domestic market is limited.

The substitution of the same fertilizer such as ammonium chloride for urea affects the demand for urea in downstream enterprises. At present, the domestic market of ammonium chloride is weakening, some enterprises'quotations are lowered, and the transaction prices in many places are loosened in the range of 20-30 yuan/ton. Compound fertilizer enterprises are forced to purchase ammonium chloride instead of urea under the pressure of cost.

Finally, from a comprehensive point of view, urea market in China lacks favorable support, with high construction level, strong terminal wait-and-see mood, low procurement enthusiasm, large agricultural distributors using with mining, the overall market is dominated by negative factors. It is expected that the urea market will still be difficult to get rid of the weak market in the short term, and the price will have a small drop space under the game deadlock.