Up to now, the autumn fertilizer market can be said to be "see through at a glance". It seems that the whole market process did not have a big wave. At the initial stage, compound fertilizer enterprises attracted a lot of downstream purchasing interest by means of explosives and preferential policies. However, due to cost pressures, after a period of implementation, the mainstream quotation resumed. At the conventional level, downstream demand has slumped since then, even if some enterprises adjust prices and related policies, it seems that they have never reached the psychological expectations of the grass-roots level.

_Autumn fertilizer market wheat fertilizer accounted for a large proportion. According to the understanding of Zhongfei Net, 45% chloro-based high nitrogen and high phosphorus Wheat Fertilizer (e.g. 25-14-6/18-22-5) is currently the mainstream manufacturer quoted at around 2050-2250 yuan/ton nationwide. It is worth mentioning that since the end of July, the price of wheat fertilizer has not fluctuated significantly and has been running steadily as a whole. When the situation of material and supply and demand changes at any time, the price of compound fertilizer is "hard to say". It is more difficult to raise the price and reduce the price.

It is difficult to raise the price. First, the price of raw material fertilizer is not high. In Fertilizer City this autumn, the depressed atmosphere is dominant, and urea prices seem to have recovered in the near future, but compared with the previous high prices, there is a decline of more than 100 yuan. Domestic demand is weak and the international market has no clear guidance for the time being, so it is difficult to have a big rise in the short term. In autumn, the demand for phosphate fertilizer is large, but the price of phosphate fertilizer falls again and again, the price of sulfur falls, and the cost of ammonium monoammonium is low. Insufficient support, increased inventory pressure, prices or downward; diammonium prices fell sharply compared with the same period last year, demand has always been insufficient, trading focus or continue to move downward; second, demand has been restrained. In addition to the shortage of raw materials, the lack of unilateral demand has completely hindered the promotion of the fertilizer market in autumn. The low price of agricultural products and limited funds for farming preparation, together with the flood disasters caused by frequent rainy weather this summer, have inhibited the release of downstream demand to a certain extent, and the market lag is obvious. To attack. Nowadays, the traditional pricing model is no longer dominant. Enterprises strive to "exchange price for quantity" and low-price goods are constantly emerging, which leads to uneven market prices and wide disparities. Even if it is good, it is difficult to realize the adjustment and increase.

"It's more difficult to reduce prices": First, buy up, not buy down. Compound fertilizer prices are more stable than other fertilizers, arbitrary price adjustment may affect downstream purchasing mentality. According to the current fertilizer market, appropriate price reduction of compound fertilizer may be more reasonable, but autumn fertilizer is approaching the middle and late stages, as the final sprint stage, the willingness of enterprises to bid is stronger; secondly, the price tone or has been determined. In order to seize the market share first, the pre-harvest of compound fertilizer started slightly earlier this autumn than in previous years. According to the recent cost of compound fertilizer, the price of Wheat Fertilizer introduced by most enterprises is at a lower level. The only purpose is to attract active downstream payment orders. Naturally, the pre-harvest situation is still acceptable. Once the price is reduced, on the one hand, it will affect the market. On the other hand, we can't give a reasonable explanation to the customers who pay in advance. Thirdly, we should undertake the winter storage market. The seasonal interval between autumn and winter fertilizers is not large. Before the end of autumn fertilizer, the local winter storage activities have begun gradually. The autumn compound fertilizer market determines the development trend of winter storage market to a certain extent. If the price falls sharply at the end of autumn fertilizer sweeping, it will be fatal for the following winter storage. Therefore, the price reduction will be fatal for the following winter storage. It's much harder than raising prices.

To sum up, the compound fertilizer market in the middle and later stages of the autumn fertilizer market may be in a dilemma, with no support for price increase and insufficient reasons for price reduction. If the raw materials and supply and demand sides are relatively stable in the short term, the autumn fertilizer market before the winter storage activities may maintain the status quo.