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At present, the overall domestic fertilizer market is weak, and most market participants hold pessimistic expectations on various fertilizer types. Among them, the market of nitrogen fertilizer and urea is unimaginable, the price of the factory is constantly reduced, the transaction is still light, the wholesale price of the agricultural market is not market, and the industrial support is limited, resulting in the excess supply of urea. It seems that if the urea enterprise does not actively reduce the start-up, it is difficult to turn around. It's not urea. It's hard to protect itself. We can only persuade some of the weak liquid ammonia to do so.
QThe reference price of the plant is only about 2550-2850 yuan / ton, and the detailed price of other regions is welcome to join the special zone of members of China fertilizer network; if according to the proportion of liquid ammonia: urea (0.58-0.6): 1 rough calculation, if the production center is placed on urea, Take Hebei as an example, if the average price of liquid ammonia is 2750 yuan / ton cash, the urea price is about 1795-1850 yuan / ton water. At present, the price of urea is only 1720-1780 yuan / ton, so urea and liquid ammonia can only fight separately. Then the trend of liquid ammonia market becomes the focus of the industry.
It is difficult for the supply of liquid ammonia enterprises to reduce significantly. At present, in terms of the operating rate of liquid ammonia enterprises, it is good for the current liquid ammonia enterprises to see the staggered peak and limited production in Shanxi Province and the restrictions on some liquid ammonia enterprises caused by the "military games" in Wuhan, Hubei Province; however, the operation of other liquid ammonia Enterprises is still at a high level. Next, a large overhaul liquid ammonia factory in Hubei will resume production, and another factory will enter the overhaul period. At the beginning of next month, a factory in Anhui Province plans to open. At the beginning of the annual maintenance, another plant said that the technical transformation devices will be put into use in succession, so the operating rate of liquid ammonia enterprises will fluctuate, but it is only limited to causing small fluctuations in the prices of surrounding areas, and it is not able to cause waves nationwide for the time being.
From the above mutual conversion of urea and liquid ammonia, in order to ease the pressure of urea delivery, from the perspective of production cost and efficiency, the enterprise will choose to shift the production focus to liquid ammonia; in addition, the methanol market is weak, and the price drop in many places is about 200 yuan / ton, and the enterprise will also be forced to shift the production focus to liquid ammonia, which will increase the pressure of liquid ammonia delivery and the price. There is no turning point.
Under the double pressure of environmental protection and safety, the operating rate of some chemical enterprises continues to be low, and the sales progress of compound fertilizer enterprises is slow, and the enthusiasm of production is not high, especially the situation that small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises stop production or reduce production is particularly obvious, and the purchase amount of raw material liquid ammonia is very limited; then look at the weak market of phosphate fertilizer, such as the overall operating level of phosphate fertilizer enterprises in Hubei is not high. As a result, liquid ammonia enterprises are under pressure. Therefore, enterprises can only reduce the price in line with the maintenance or low price, but the range is limited, which can not represent the overall domestic market. However, at present, the environmental protection warning in Shandong Province has been lifted, the downstream ammonia enterprises have started to recover, and the price of some liquid ammonia has increased by 50 yuan / ton. The overall ammonia discharge in Hubei Province has decreased, and some enterprises have indicated that they will carry out maintenance in the near future, and the enterprise price has increased by 50 yuan / ton, which is a few good things.
in the end, the urea market lacks support, the
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