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For example, in this week, the prices of some urea enterprises in Shanxi and Henan increased by 10-30 yuan / ton. Now, the prices of main urea factories in Shanxi are about 1575 yuan / ton, and those in Henan are about 1640-1650 yuan / ton. Of course, the turnover has also increased to some extent. This operation is undoubtedly a way of delivering carbon in the snow for the market, whether it is to see through the printing mark or from From the comparison of domestic supply and demand, up to now, most of the upstream and downstream markets are pessimistic about the long-term trend of urea. They think that small-scale price increase can not resolve the contradictions existing in the overall market. No, the sound of price increase has gradually subsided, and there is no power to explore the price increase. Why?
. Then from the domestic urea market supply and demand to see how its trend.
On the one hand, although the start-up of urea enterprises has lowered expectations, the effect of market stimulation should be limited. According to the statistics of China fertilizer network, up to now, the overall industry operating rate of urea enterprises is 49.07%, which is not satisfactory. Environmental protection is the most important thing for chemical fertilizer and chemical enterprises. This year, however, it is the normal situation. After the prohibition of "one size fits all" peak shifting and production restriction, the start-up of urea enterprises will remain at a high level for a long time. According to relevant information and from some gas urea enterprises, natural gas supply should be sufficient, so some gas urea enterprises will stop The postponement of production time or the relaxation of production suspension means that the start-up of urea enterprises is expected to be lowered, so the small-scale price increase of urea enterprises in the surrounding areas is also normal. It is a life-saving straw under the depressed market, but the production is limited, so the exploration range is limited, and the overall fatigue can not be alleviated.
On the other hand, it is difficult to improve the light demand, and there are concerns after the conference. At present, the agricultural market is as light as water; first, the attention of light storage is not as good as before; second, in order to avoid the operational risk, the large agricultural material merchants continue to purchase on demand as before; the fertilizer use time in the grass-roots market will start in March and April next year; the industrial procurement is slightly promoted, but the start-up level of the compound fertilizer enterprises is less than 40%, resulting in the limited purchase of raw materials and the enthusiasm of production under the cost pressure. Not high, and the phosphorus and compound fertilizer meeting is coming, all enterprises want to take this opportunity to "show their strength", all raw material fertilizer enterprises are eager to try, urea is the same, but there are still variables; moreover, under the heavy pressure of environmental protection inspection, it is difficult for plywood factories to start at a low level.
Q Because of profit and cost, the focus of production is shifted to urea. Finally, the small nitrogen fertilizer ammonium chloride affects the sales volume of urea to a certain extent. At present, ammonium chloride enterprises still generally keep the bottom sales, and the price drops slowly. For example, the mainstream price of dry ammonium in Central China is about 530-600 yuan / ton. Compared with urea, the low price advantage is obvious, and it has gradually become the preferred raw material fertilizer for some compound fertilizer enterprises.
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