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In addition to urea, the overall performance of the major fertilizer varieties in the fertilizer market is not good in the near future: the diammonium market in the phosphate fertilizer market has entered such an awkward stage when the spring market is closed and the summer market has not yet started. There are only a few orders left in the hands of the diammonium manufacturers in spring, and the retail stage in some regions where the fertilizer is used earlier has basically ended, and the dealers with more leftovers start to ship at a low price, Some compound fertilizer and mixed fertilizer factories also began to sell raw materials at low prices. The market wholesale price is relatively chaotic. Take Heilongjiang Province as an example, the wholesale price of 64% diammonium is 2450-2550 yuan (ton price, the same below), the market retail price is only 2500-2700 yuan, and the reference factory price of 64% diammonium of enterprises in Hubei Province is also 2120-2150 yuan. The market of Monoammonium is light, and some enterprises still suspend reporting It is reported that the acceptance and warehousing price of 55% powdered ammonium in Hubei Province in Shandong Province has been reduced to 1900-1930 yuan, and the warehousing price of low-end small factories is only 1850 yuan, which translates that 55% powdered ammonium in Hubei Province actually leaves the factory near 1720-1800 yuan. The potash market is also in a dilemma due to the pending big contracts. Once the big contracts are signed, the price of potash fertilizer will decline rapidly, but if they are not taken, the price of potash fertilizer will decline rapidly In the second half of the year, the price may continue to rise due to shortage.
but the overall performance of urea market in the near future is relatively good. At this stage, the factory quotation of main urea in Shandong Province is 1710-1730 yuan, that of compound fertilizer enterprises in Linyi region is 1770-1780 yuan, that of main urea in Hebei Province is 1720 yuan, that of main urea in Henan Province is 1700-1720 yuan, that of main urea in Shanxi The main price of urea in ancient areas also rose to about 1510 yuan, but the overall situation of the market may not last long. The main points are as follows:
Firstly, the supply is large. At this stage, the daily physical output of urea in China is up to 163000 tons, and some enterprises still have incremental plans this year. According to the monitoring of China fertilizer network, when the daily output of urea in China exceeds 160000 tons in recent two years, the overall price of urea shows some signs of decline. In addition to the enterprises that temporarily shut down the plant, there are relatively few enterprises that plan to repair, which means that the urea market in the near future The supply of the plant will maintain an adequate level, which will inhibit the overall price of urea.
secondly, the market demand in the near future is relatively general. In the near future, the demand for fertilizer in spring in some regions has basically ended. At this stage, only northeast and northwest regions still have the demand for fertilizer. Although dealers have relatively small inventory, they plan to purchase and store the fertilizer as soon as the market starts, and dare not rush to purchase and store it. Under such an inactive background, the overall delivery of urea is relatively good However, affected by the epidemic situation, the market of plate factories and melamine is relatively poor, the industrial market demand is relatively low, and the demand for urea is relatively poor.
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