In recent years, the price of urea in some regions has been rising again. Now, the factory quotation of mainstream urea in Shandong Province is 1610-1620 yuan (ton price, the same below), the price of urea received by Linyi compound fertilizer enterprises is 1660-1670 yuan, the factory quotation of mainstream urea in Hebei Province is 1620-1650 yuan, the factory quotation of mainstream urea in Henan Province is 1610-1630 yuan, the factory quotation of mainstream urea in Shanxi Province is 1550 yuan, large granule 154 yuan, the main urea factory quotation in Heilongjiang Province is 1590 yuan, and the price in the northern market starts to rise, but the southern market has been flat in the near future, and even some urea factory quotations in Yunnan Province have dropped sharply. In terms of the current market, the high price transactions in the northern market are relatively poor, and the urea price rise is not solid, so what kind of market can be considered stable How about it?

Firstly, the start-up of urea is effectively reduced. Since 2020, the overall supply of urea has increased significantly compared with that of last year. Up to now, the daily operating volume of urea has risen to over 160000 tons, and has been maintained at over 160000 tons for a long time. The overall supply pressure in the market is relatively large. However, according to some factory feedbacks, in the second half of this year, some enterprises will resume production or increase production of some urea production capacity. In order to ensure the production plan, the enterprise will supply the whole The volume should not be easily reduced. In order to ensure the flow of urea and the flow of capital, the price will go down further. In this market, the price will continue to decline without a big rise in demand. Once it falls below the cost line, some factories may be affected. However, the gross profit of urea at this stage is still between 200-300 yuan. In terms of the market at this stage, the price will continue to decline In recent months, the start-up of urea will not fall too much.

Secondly, the environment of chemical fertilizer has become better. In the near future, the sales of summer fertilizer began to start gradually, but the overall price trend of summer fertilizer is gradually declining. Although high nitrogen fertilizer is the main sales Fertilizer in summer, and there is demand for top dressing, the duration is relatively short, and the demand is not much, but the overall performance of the industrial market is relatively general. The overall price of melamine is nearly cut back from the same period last year, and the demand of plate factories and power plants is also relatively low The quantity is not large. It is expected that the urea market will not rebound in the short term

The demand for top dressing is decreasing in the Northeast market, and its duration is relatively short; on the other hand, the old problem of excessive urea supply is about to enter the second half of 2020, some enterprises will resume production, the overall supply pressure is relatively large, but the actual demand in the later market is relatively limited, and it is expected that the price of urea will only fluctuate in a narrow range in the near future.