In recent days, urea prices in Shandong, Henan and other places have continued to explore. At present, the main ex factory prices of urea in Shandong are 1640-1650 yuan (ton price, the same below). The price of urea received by the composite fertilizer enterprises in Linyi area has risen to 1690-1700 yuan. The high-end prices are less traded, and the acceptance of the composite fertilizer enterprises is not high for the time being. However, the urea enterprises are still waiting for development in the near future. In addition, it is heard that the urea enterprises have entered the safe production month this month In the later stage, there is a risk of decline in the start-up of the urea industry, so it is possible for the enterprise to continue to explore the quotation. Whether the actual price of urea will rise or not is not discussed first. It is possible for urea enterprises to continue to explore the price, which may drive the whole fertilizer market to move.

If the urea quotation continues to rise, the compound fertilizer enterprises may change their thinking from just waiting to purchasing urea as needed, and the actual transaction price of urea will also rise at that time. With the exploration of urea quotation, the compound fertilizer enterprises may regain their trust in the fertilizer market. Although most of the enterprises are in the period of unit maintenance in the near future, some non-stop units have begun to produce in autumn Jifei is expected to resume production of the shut-down units in late June. Some compound fertilizer enterprises are going to hold an autumn marketing meeting in late June and issue policies to urge downstream distributors to actively make payments. In terms of upstream raw materials, urea procurement has been mentioned above. In terms of raw materials monoammonium and potash, the recent procurement intention of compound fertilizer enterprises is not very good.

After the price of Monoammonium rises, it is temporarily stable. Some large factories in Hubei do not offer, suspend or control orders. It is reported that in Shandong market, 55% of the large factories in Hubei actually leave the factory at about 1750 yuan, and 58% of the large factories leave the factory at about 1900 yuan. The actual transaction volume is slightly higher than that in the early stage, but the volume of transaction is not much. Tens of thousands of tons of Monoammonium supplemented by composite plants in Shandong and other places are arriving at the factory one after another. In the near future, new mining will be carried out There are not many purchase plans. Although some small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises have the intention to take the goods, the purchase volume is not large and concentrated temporarily. The industry believes that a wave of purchase demand is expected in late June or near the end of the month.

The price of potassium chloride is still in slow decline. In the past two months, the price of potassium chloride has declined by 350-550 yuan. Most of the sales of Salt Lake agents are not ideal. The market circulation price has fallen. Now, the low end of 60% potassium arrival price is only about 1750 yuan. From the perspective of cost, the low-end price of imported potassium will soon touch the lowest cost line. Maybe in the near future, there will be a voice of the seller's speculation. It is suggested to make a big recovery Hefei enterprises or big traders can consider to copy the bottom. The price of potassium sulphate continues to slow down, but for the manufacturers, the gross profit level is relatively large, and the enterprises are not short of money. Although the inventory pressure is not large, the sales pressure continues to increase. Now 52% of the factory price of all water-soluble powder varies from 2400 yuan to 2800 yuan. The demand of compound fertilizer enterprises for potash fertilizer is not high for the time being, and the prices are all down. It is expected that the purchase of potash fertilizer will remain mainly on demand.

To sum up, safe production month and other factors are expected to promote the urea quotation to continue to rise, and the actual price will also have a real upward possibility. The light fertilizer market may recover with urea, and at the same time, it will drive the compound fertilizer enterprises to purchase a new wave of raw materials phosphorus and potassium.