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Since the beginning of the week, urea prices have fluctuated from place to place. With the arrival of the market in succession, demand in some regions has almost come to an end, and the pending orders of the factory have been executed, while the volume of new orders is relatively small, and the prices in Shanxi and other places have begun to decline. Now, the prices of main urea outflow plants in Shanxi are 1570 yuan (ton price, the same below), 1560 yuan for large particles, and agricultural demand in Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangsu and Zhejiang areas Basically over, the price has also declined to some extent, while Shandong, Lianghe and other places have seen a small increase, but the turnover is relatively small. The price of main urea in Shandong Province is 1650-1680 yuan, the price of composite fertilizer enterprises in Linyi area is 1700-1720 yuan, the price of main urea in Hebei Province is 1650-1670 yuan, the reference price of low-end transaction of large order is 1610-1620 yuan, and the price of main urea in Henan Province is 1650-1670 yuan The price of urea in the northeast and northwest Xinjiang markets has been raised due to the demand support. At present, the ex factory price of urea in Xinjiang has risen to more than 1400 yuan, while the arrival price of small and medium-sized particles in Heilongjiang has risen to about 1730 yuan. The price trend of urea has temporarily entered the region How will urea price last in the later period?
On the one hand, due to the short demand of the market, the demand of the northeast and northwest markets lasts for the longest time, that is to say, in the first ten days of July, some enterprises in the Northeast will stop for a short time, and other enterprises will take the opportunity to raise their prices appropriately. However, it is expected that not only the enterprises that have stopped production in the near future will resume production, but also some enterprises that have been overhauled in the early stage will resume production, the overall supply will increase, and the space for price rise may be limited; On the other hand, the price of urea in many areas has declined, and the prices in Inner Mongolia and Shanxi are in a declining channel recently. For example, the price in Northeast China continues to rise, while the price of urea in these areas continues to fall. After the price is in line with the standard, a large number of low-cost goods will be delivered. Therefore, it is expected that the price of urea in the price rising areas in the later period will be limited, and there is still a sign of falling in the later period.
Secondly, the reduction in the price reduction area should be small. On the one hand, the start of urea production fell below 150000 tons per day this week, and the overall supply pressure has been eased to a certain extent, while the demand of industrial plate plants has also been released to a certain extent. Although the market is relatively poor, the inventory pressure in many places has been released to a certain extent. According to the production plan of the plant, the urea production per day should be maintained at a relatively low level this month; On the other hand, the price difference between domestic urea and international urea is gradually narrowing. According to the latest FOB conversion in this week, the FOB price of urea in northern port of China is about 1654 yuan. Although there is still a certain difference between this price and domestic price, coastal enterprises have relatively high cost advantage, plus bulk shipment, basically can realize the non inverted export. Some enterprises say that in the later period, urea will be greatly reduced Price, like export to ease the pressure of goods.
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