At the beginning of July, the market entered the second half of the year, and the autumn market of compound fertilizer also officially opened. With the introduction of wheat fertilizer prices and policies of most compound fertilizer enterprises and the holding of autumn fertilizer marketing conference, the price of wheat fertilizer has gradually surfaced. However, the price of raw materials is still fluctuating recently. How about the collection of compound fertilizer enterprises in the near future? Is the market hot?

First of all, the raw material urea price reappearance temperature, local price rise, whether can drive the autumn fertilizer overall market? After the Dragon Boat Festival, urea prices rose slightly, and the urea prices in Shandong, Lianghe, Shanxi and Shaanxi were increased to varying degrees. At present, the mainstream factory quotation of small granule urea in Shandong and Hebei is 1580-1600 yuan / ton. The main reasons for the rise of urea price are: first, some enterprises restrict production, but the daily output has not increased significantly; second, the demand for topdressing corn in Central Plains In addition, urea prices in some regions will soon touch the cost line; third, Shanxi, Shaanxi and other regions have more low-cost receipts in the early stage, and the short-term flow direction is sufficient, so the price has the opportunity to rise.
Secondly, another wave of bidding in India, good or bad? The bidding in India will be valid until June 30. According to China chemical fertilizer network, 628000 tons are finally confirmed, including 5 ships in the east bank and 8 ships in the West Bank. However, the specific price and the quantity in China have not been known yet. However, it is estimated that the number of domestic urea won will not be too large, which is of little significance for boosting the domestic urea price. However, if the operating rate of urea enterprises rises significantly after mid July, the operating rate of urea enterprises will rise significantly Then the urea price still has the expectation of falling in the later period.

Thirdly, the price of fertilizer in autumn is basically coming out. How about the psychological acceptance of downstream? At the end of June and the beginning of July, most compound fertilizer enterprises began to prepare autumn fertilizer prices. At the beginning of June, China chemical fertilizer network predicted the price of wheat compound fertilizer this year, and then the prices rose one after another at the end of June. The ex factory quotation of 45% Cl (25:14:6) was 1850-1950 yuan / T, which was consistent with the forecast. Some enterprises also issued certain preferential policies on the basis of this quotation, and a few enterprises received fairly good payments However, most of the compound fertilizer enterprises did not receive the expected amount of fertilizer in autumn, mainly because the price had not reached the expectation. Moreover, due to the influence of the epidemic situation, the organization meeting was hindered, and the collection situation was reduced compared with that in previous years.

Finally, although the price of raw material urea has a slight rise, it is not optimistic in the long run. In addition, the fertilizer has been used for a long time, and the price of diammonium is low. In the short term, the situation of fertilizer collection in autumn is general. In the long run, attention should be paid to the start-up of fertilizer demand in autumn and the market trend of raw materials.