After the National Day holiday, the autumn fertilizer market has come to an end, and winter wheat sowing activities from the south to the north have gradually started, and the progress in many fields has reached more than 50%. After entering October, partial autumn Wheat Fertilizer replenishment demand is relatively strong, compound fertilizer enterprises deliver goods smoothly, and the overall market is stable. However, in view of the market coming to the final stage, new replenishment orders are more flexible, and enterprises take the initiative to reduce the load, digest inventory, and prepare for the next winter storage.
In the twinkling of an eye, the chemical fertilizer market has come to the stage of winter storage. Compared with previous years, the winter storage market of compound fertilizer has experienced ups and downs. In the early stage, the low prices have been constantly popping up. After twists and turns, the winter storage prices in most regions have become vague, and the interest collection is generally carried out, and the effect is mediocre. At present, as far as the raw material market is concerned, it can not be said to be good, but it can never be said to be bad. Among them, nitrogen and potassium fertilizer are the most attractive. After the collective rise of large traders, the price of port potassium chloride has risen sharply compared with the earlier period, and the future market will still be strong; the urea market is extremely hot, and the printing mark is supported, the international and domestic urea market fluctuates, and the latest printing marks are successively implemented and bidding The total volume is large and the bidding price is expected to be fair. Even if the price announced next week is lower than the previous expectation, the corresponding large demand will also improve the balance of supply and demand in the urea market. It is rumored that India still has more than 2 million tons of urea demand before the end of the year. This round of printing marks coincides with the opening of winter storage market. The favorable domestic urea price will support the market of compound fertilizer to some extent. Can the winter storage market turn around?

First of all, the winter reserve may be stable. As we all know, the annual national phosphate and compound fertilizer conference will be held in Qingdao, Shandong Province on June 18. The meeting is usually regarded as the official start of winter storage market for compound fertilizer. After that, enterprises will issue winter storage prices and policies. Recently, the price of raw materials is relatively strong, which plays a supporting role in winter storage price of compound fertilizer. No matter the end of autumn or the beginning of winter storage, once the raw material market is weak, the price of compound fertilizer will undoubtedly drop. Moreover, the original price keynote of winter storage this year has been relatively low. After printing, the price of urea will be stable or rise, which will ensure the smooth development of winter storage of compound fertilizer, otherwise the market may There was a big drop in temperature.

Second, winter storage demand or improvement. In addition to the price of compound fertilizer, downstream demand is very important. The main reason for the low atmosphere of winter storage market is the poor demand in recent years, and the enthusiasm of dealers for winter storage is getting lower and lower. As a result, the pressure on enterprises is increasing, and the price war is on the verge. This year's demand for winter storage may be expected to change. The first reason is that the grain price is generally high, the farmers' income is increased, and the enthusiasm of preparing for farming is improved; the second reason is that although the winter storage risk is large, the price level of compound fertilizer in winter storage is lower than that of last year, and the price reduction space in the later stage is very limited. Therefore, in the process of preferential prices and policies issued by various enterprises in the initial stage of winter storage, the dealers will Face will be more or less according to their own demand for goods.

Finally, the winter storage market or rational. In fact, this year's winter storage market has already begun. Take Northeast China as an example, in August, compound fertilizer enterprises have already collected in advance. The price level is astonishing. Although the advance collection period is short, it also has a certain impact on the market. First, the awareness of dealers is misled and the opening price is low. Then the future price is even less optimistic. This is the current customers of most dealers However, if there is no obvious advantage, the price increase may not be accepted; secondly, the compound fertilizer enterprises are under pressure, and after the early low price and pre collection, the raw material price has increased in recent years compared with the previous ones. They continue to adhere to the low price, increase the cost pressure, and increase the price rashly, which will damage the downstream goods taking mood. Therefore, rational treatment of the market is the right choice.

To sum up, the urea bidding in India is indeed relatively good, but due to its uncertainty, it can not be forced to be a favorable supporting factor for the winter storage market of compound fertilizer, and it needs to be cautious and optimistic and wait for the opportunity.