At the end of the long holiday, the fat market is still the same as the former one: urea is greasy with xiaosaner, and ammonium phosphate is on fire. They all want to rise, but they still want to think about it; only potassium chloride continues to pursue poetry and the distance.

Before the festival, the price of potassium chloride in the border trade market dropped slightly. Until now, there is still a certain inverted phenomenon, that is, the quotations of importers are in the upper part, 62% of white potassium ports offer 1700-1750 yuan (ton price, the same below), while the quotation of middlemen is generally low, about 1700 yuan. What's the situation? Don't worry. In addition to the superficial price fluctuation, we should also know about the trading situation: first of all, the importers quoted the pre-sale price of the source of goods in October. Although the quotation rose again, they all indicated that there was no sales pressure. Secondly, the sales of the middlemen improved after a small reduction.

What do we see in this? First, the market is not so hot, and many transactions are carried out within the upper links; second, the lower reaches question high prices, but they have gradually accepted relatively low prices in the process of rising prices; third, in a word, in any case, it is a one word increase!

There is a similar situation in the port market, and because the port is leading the rise, it develops faster. Some of the low-cost goods in the early stage are consumed and some are recycled by the large trade. In short, it is more and more difficult to find, that is to say, the source of goods has been further concentrated.

Before the festival, the low-end price of 62% white potassium in the port was still around 1950-1980 yuan. At present, most traders temporarily stopped quoting due to the end of the long holiday, and they were waiting and waiting, but it is said that the lowest psychological price has reached 2000 yuan. Since the price of the public has almost reached the 2000 yuan mark, if you recall the rumor that the ordinary white potassium rose to 2000 yuan at the beginning of this round of price increase, 62% of the white powder is relatively tight, or will rise to 2100 yuan. Do you have a lot of expectations? Now stop the quotation, is it really a holiday to fly, self need to wait and see, or because of the extra expectation?

This round of rebound of potassium chloride should have entered the second stage. The first stage is that the port white potassium rises from less than 1800 yuan to 2000 yuan. This stage is to let the buyer accept the fact of price increase. Now, the second stage is from 2000 yuan to 2100 yuan. This stage is the stage when middlemen accept the fact of price increase and produce expectations. Will it There is a third stage. How high will potassium chloride reach before it comes to an end?

In fact, the price increase of potassium chloride has entered the third month, with the maximum increase of more than 250 yuan. However, it is still dominated by the upper level, and the actual support is still lacking. At the same time, there is no big rise in the international market, nitrogen and phosphorus, potassium sulfate and compound fertilizer. Therefore, Shihe and the distance are still somewhat illusory. Perhaps in the short term, the price of potassium chloride will continue to be strong and reach a new high. However, unless there are major problems on the supply side, such as repeated strikes in Belarus, epidemic situation or other factors affecting Canada's exports, even if there is one in the third stage, it is estimated that the power has been consumed in the first two stages.

Therefore, in the face of strong potassium chloride, it is suggested that the grass-roots users should pay attention to the reverse price of winter storage and spring ploughing. The factory customers should make the purchase time and quantity plan according to their own production needs and product premium, and the middlemen should learn from the urea traders' small steps.