Recently, under the support of printing label, demand procurement, local raw material natural gas speculation and other factors, the price of urea has not been leveled off, and has been rising again and again. In many regions, the price has even been rising continuously, with an individual increase of 100 yuan / ton. For example, the mainstream factory quotation of urea in Hebei is about 1710-1750 yuan / ton, which can be discussed. Due to the limited production in Shanxi, the supply of small granule urea is tight, The mainstream factory quotation is about 1620 yuan / ton, and the urea price in southwest part is the biggest, for example, a factory has risen to 1680 yuan / ton.

In the off-season of the agricultural market, the overall demand is limited, and large traders are still cautious about purchasing urea. However, with the gradual recovery of the operating rate of industrial compound fertilizer enterprises, raw material procurement has increased, and the overall operation of plywood factory is fair, which does not support the rise of urea price. The industry is cautious and optimistic. It thinks that under the support of the printing mark and raw materials, the price is still slightly increased At the same time, the market of ammonium chloride has also paid more attention to urea. At present, the market of ammonium chloride is slightly improved. First, the price is relatively stable, and the low price in some regions has risen by 10 yuan / ton. Second, the inquiry sheet of downstream has increased slightly. Under the boost of urea, how many turns will it take to increase the price of ammonium chloride?

The market of ammonium chloride is relatively stable, and the pessimism of the industry has also improved to some extent. The production enterprises start operation at a higher level, but the downstream market is cautious and wait-and-see, which leads to slow delivery. It is also considered that the price of ammonium chloride has not yet reached its psychological expectation and the purchasing enthusiasm is low, which leads to the difficulty in relieving the inventory pressure of production enterprises. However, under the support of cost and demand, the price of ammonium chloride is partly affected If you want to raise prices, not to mention turning a few corners, at least the market will improve, but also pay attention to changes in supply and demand.

First of all, the start-up of the combined soda enterprises was on the high side to 70%, and showed a rising trend. First, since the second half of the year, soda ash has increased rapidly, and the downstream demand has been saturated. In addition to the high price, the volume of new orders has decreased. The local soda ash market is weak, and the price has also dropped. But after all, soda ash is the main product, and the focus of joint soda enterprises is still on soda ash. Therefore, the operation will remain at a high level. However, at the same time, the price of ammonium chloride has been in the market Due to the consideration of cost, the price of ammonium chloride will be relatively strong, which will be a good support to a certain extent; secondly, a few large ammonium chloride plants in Jiangsu, Hubei and Sichuan are under operation, but in the process of recovery and improvement, it is expected that the output and supply will increase at the end of the month and the beginning of next month.

Secondly, the progress of demand follow-up is slow. At present, the overall industry operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises is low to only 44.35%, and the prices of various raw materials have been raised. However, the policy of winter storage is not smooth. In addition, the delivery situation is not optimistic. Some compound fertilizer enterprises are not enthusiastic about production, especially small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises. At present, large traders are in the majority, and small and medium-sized traders are pessimistic about ammonium chloride and wait and see carefully Some extrusion granular ammonium chloride enterprises started relatively low, and the purchase quantity of raw material ammonium chloride was limited.

Third, although the market of ammonium chloride has more negative, but there are still favorable factors to support or look forward to. First, the price of urea is rising. For some compound fertilizer enterprises with high cost pressure, they will choose low-cost ammonium chloride instead of urea as raw material; second, in terms of raw materials, the supply and price of raw natural gas in the southwest market will have to be raised. At that time, the cost of ammonium chloride enterprises in some gas heads will be increased; third, the expectation of northeast winter storage market is now in Northeast China The amount of ammonium chloride in the region is limited. The winter storage market has been started, and the delivery volume has increased. The supply pressure of other markets will be improved to a certain extent.
On the whole, with the support of urea to a certain extent and the improvement of local demand, the price of local ammonium chloride has a small rise space in the short term. However, due to the off-season demand of domestic market, the low-level operation of downstream construction, and the cautious wait-and-see of traders, the overall market is expected to be mainly stable, with local small movements.