Recently, the most discussed topic in the fertilizer market is price increase. The prices of nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium and compound fertilizer have increased to varying degrees compared with the previous period, among which the rise of raw material fertilizer is more obvious. At the beginning of the winter storage, the price of compound fertilizer was low, until the raw material market went up, the winter storage price began to strengthen, however, the market confidence was slightly insufficient. If the price of raw materials can remain high, the winter storage market of compound fertilizer can barely be maintained. However, the frequent fluctuation of urea market in recent days is really frightening.

Different from other fertilizers, the urea market is unpredictable and even turns over quickly. Factors such as mark increase, local production restriction and increase of natural gas cost have helped the urea price of this round to rise gradually and reach high level in many places. However, nowadays, local price seems to have the risk of price reduction. With the end of shipping date in the export market and the slowdown of domestic industrial and agricultural demand, urine prices have increased It is reasonable that the fluctuation of vegetable price will not have a great impact on the winter storage market of compound fertilizer. Moreover, it is very difficult for urea price to rise and fall in the short term, so the compound fertilizer market will show a stable and good trend.

First of all, the price of phosphorus and potassium fertilizer remains high. The price of compound fertilizer has always been at a low level, and the rising trend at present indicates that there is a big advantage in the aspect of raw materials. As far as monoammonium phosphate, which is the most popular fertilizer in the near future, increases in price are logical. There are many expectations in front of the enterprise, and there is almost no spot in the short term. Moreover, the prices of raw materials such as sulfur and phosphate ore are rising. Monoammonium enterprises are confident in raising prices and gradually consume low-cost raw materials in the early stage Under the circumstances, some compound fertilizer enterprises have the intention to replenish their positions, and the cost of phosphate fertilizer will be higher and higher; the market of potassium fertilizer is mainly consolidation at a high level, and it is possible to continue to go higher after the rise of potassium chloride, and the future market will still form a support for the price of compound fertilizer.

Secondly, the demand for winter storage still exists. At present, the demand of winter storage market seems to be stagnant, but there is a certain gap in fact. Although some dealers have reserved low-cost goods in the early stage, after all, it is too early for the dealers to make a proper amount of money and dare not make rash moves. So far, the market as a whole is slightly deadlocked. The first reason is that the grain price is at a high level this year, farmers are reluctant to sell, and dealers' funds are withdrawn The second reason is that the price of compound fertilizer is rising, and the short-term benefits can be seen. As for the sales season in spring of next year, the situation is still unclear, so dealers should operate cautiously.

Finally, the market of diammonium continued to improve. In autumn and winter of this year, the market of diammonium is the focus of attention, and the price has been rising all the way. Up to now, according to zhongfei.com, 64% of diammonium diammonium in Heilongjiang Province in Southwest China has a buyout price of 2750 yuan / ton, which is expected to continue to rise in the future. The main reason for the booming domestic market of diammonium is that the export market is mainly favorable. Most enterprises mainly supply export orders, and the price is more advantageous than that in China. It is expected that the export supply of some enterprises will be implemented until the middle and late November, resulting in a slight shortage of supply in the domestic market and a rise in prices. The high price of diammonium will also form a favorable support for the price of compound fertilizer.

To sum up, regardless of urea, if the market of phosphate fertilizer and potash fertilizer can persist for a period of time, the price rise of compound fertilizer will become a fact, but the current price level is still lower than that of the same period last year.