During the weekend, the domestic urea continued to weaken, the most direct embodiment is the price reduction, down in 20-50 yuan (ton price, the same below), Inner Mongolia most urea transaction price has already fallen 1800 yuan, Shanxi urea a single discussion, some urea in Xinjiang fell 1600 yuan, although Shandong, Hebei two urea plant quotations are still high It is around 1920-2030 yuan, but some manufacturers show less confidence, and they are worried that the prices of their main production areas may continue to fall to about 1850-1950 yuan. After falling back, the urea market has been badly hit by the manufacturer's shipments and abandoning the price to be sold, instead of the "flurried" means of reducing the price or the Fed, such as the end of the urea market in the northwest, the time of the winter wheat base fertilizer in August, and the large farm capital of the Fed's fed urea sales model. Dealers have already reserved a small amount of reserves in advance. Undoubtedly, this way of operation has some effect, but this does not boost the domestic urea market to solve this problem.

Seeing the continuous price reduction in the domestic urea market, the related products have been given a certain expectation, and the "aid" is extended to solve its near worry, such as the tilt of the production center of gravity to the liquid ammonia Market. That is to look at the trend of the liquid ammonia Market, now the domestic liquid ammonia market is up to the main operation, the reference price of the mainstream acceptance of liquid ammonia in Hebei is about 3000-3050 yuan, the high end of the Northeast market is about 3150 yuan, and the price of the main current foreign exchange transaction in Shandong is slightly up to about 2970-3160 yuan, Hubei land The reference price of the mainstream acceptance and transaction in the district is up to about 3280-3320 yuan, and the price of the liquid ammonia mainstream in Shanxi has reached about 2700-2850 yuan. If the profit is compared with the conversion of the two party devices, the current enterprise is more willing to replace the liquid ammonia with some urea. Therefore, if the price of urea continues to decline obviously Some manufacturers will turn to increase the output of liquid ammonia to relieve pressure and to a certain extent solve their worries.

However, long time conversion of liquid ammonia is not the most effective choice, but it is the most difficult problem to solve from the supply of urea itself (including to production capacity) and demand. However, there is a clear margin in the current urea market. First, enterprises still stay at a high level. According to the statistics of China's fertilizer network, about 58.64%, with the end of the environmental protection "look back", some urea enterprises may start to rebound in the later period, and become one of the inevitable factors that lead to the price reduction; the two is that the demand is exhausted. With the end of summer dressing and the off-season in agriculture, the batch period is weak, and most of the large agricultural dealers also look at the purchase plan for the demand. Although the start of fertilizer production started early, as according to China's fertilizer network statistics, the overall industry start rate of the domestic compound fertilizer enterprises rose slightly to 44.2%, but slowly, the price of raw material urea fell again and again, the downstream buying and falling mood led the purchasing progress, and the three was the impact of imported urea on the domestic market, but as the domestic urea price continued to return. The advantages of import urea continue to be weakened; four is the uncertainty of export support or not, India said that a new round of bidding will be announced by July 15th, the date of shipment is in August 31st, but the quantity is not definite, and the price is considered, if the domestic urea price continues to be low, it is difficult to match the international progress. Turn into a blank.

In a comprehensive view, relying on the support of liquid ammonia and the demand for the scattered base manure in the next market, it is still possible to solve its near worry in a period of time, but to consider from many aspects, the urea is still in a long way. It is expected that the support for late demand will not be strong enough. The urea market will continue to be low in the near future.