At the beginning of July, compound fertilizer enterprises held autumn fertilizer conference one after another, and introduced the explosive products of autumn fertilizer. At the same time, some enterprises also introduced the latest price of autumn wheat professional fertilizer. Although compared with the same period last year, the price has fallen, but the market acceptance is not optimistic, then what kind of table will autumn fertilizer be in the second half of this year? Now?

First of all, what is the difference between the price of wheat fertilizer last year and today? At the beginning of July 2018, most of the compound fertilizer enterprises began to brew the price and policy of autumn fertilizer. Affected by the high price of raw materials in the earlier period, the price of Wheat Fertilizer in most enterprises rebounded in 2017. For example, the mainstream quotation of 45% chloro-based high-nitrogen wheat fertilizer is about 2150-2260 yuan/ton, while the mainstream quotation of 45% chloro-based high-phosphorus wheat fertilizer is about 2.50 yuan/ton. 050-2150 yuan per ton, some high nitrogen quotations have certain preferential policies; but this year only a small number of Wheat Fertilizer quotations and policies have been issued. The mainstream quotation of 45% chloro-based high nitrogen and high phosphorus Wheat Fertilizer of individual enterprises in Hubei region is about 2200-2150 yuan per ton, but the preferential range is relatively large, about 50-90 yuan per ton. Compared with last year, the quotation for Wheat Fertilizer fell by about 50 yuan per ton.

Secondly, the price of raw materials is still unstable, and the price of fertilizer in autumn is becoming a mystery. Recently, India has issued a considerable number of tenders. It is rumored that the number of successful tenders in China may reach about 1 million tons, but it is difficult to determine whether the final bid can be achieved. At present, the domestic urea quotation is relatively stable, with only minor adjustments. Recently, the price of Monoammonium has been temporarily stable, and the mainstream factory quotation of 55% powdered monoammonium in Hubei is about 2050 yuan/ton. Some enterprises still have no quotation for the time being, suspend receiving orders, main supply and pending orders, and have strong willingness to bid; the market of potassium chloride in ports has not improved, but quite a number of industries believe that the price may have reached the bottom basically (it is known that the current low-end transaction price of 62% white potassium in ports is about 2230 yuan/ton, tonnage package, bulk cargo-30 yuan/ton), short-term. There has been no major change in the interior. On the whole, the price of raw materials is relatively stable, so there is no possibility of substantial adjustment after the introduction of the new autumn fertilizer quotation.

Finally, when we look at urea in the first half of the year and phosphorus fertilizer in the second half of the year, the current price of Monoammonium is relatively stable. However, the international market of diammonium is relatively poor. Some enterprises still have the possibility of continuing to lower their FOB prices. In Central Plains, diammonium is mostly used. Therefore, compared with the price of alternative diammonium, the price of autumn wheat fertilizer is not very good. In the short term, the price of wheat fertilizer has just surfaced. It is expected that the price will become clear gradually after mid-July.