Since last Saturday, the urea price has been tentatively increased. Up to the end of this week, the weekly increase in some regions has exceeded 80 yuan (ton price, the same below), which surprised a branch of industry. At this stage, the main urea factory price in Shandong Province is 1670-1710 yuan, the main urea factory price in Hebei Province is 1670-1700 yuan, the main urea factory price in Henan Province is 1680-1690 yuan, and the main urea factory price in Shandong Province is 1680-1690 yuan The main urea prices in the western region are 1580-1600 yuan and 1580-1595 yuan for large particles. Some of the enterprises that are still waiting for export have begun to control the order receiving. The cumulative increase in Shaanxi this week is more than 70 yuan. The price rise in the early stage has not been digested in the industry. Some enterprises in Jiangsu have reached 100 yuan a day, and the heat wave of urea price rise is wave after wave, but there are still some people in the market There are mainly the following reasons for the sharp price increase of urea at this stage, which has not been purchased rashly and kept relatively calm:

First of all, the market demand has not significantly improved. No matter the new single purchase volume of downstream chemical plants, compound fertilizer enterprises or agricultural traders has not increased significantly. At present, environmental protection testing in Lianghe and other places in Shandong Province has formed a normalization. Temporary shutdown of plate plants and power plants has become a frequent event. Although there is a rigid demand for urea consumption, the overall consumption has been affected to some extent According to statistics of China fertilizer network, as of Friday, the operation rate of large factories in Hefei is 44.41%. In addition, the low-cost urea raw materials purchased in the early stage can still be consumed for a period of time. The acceptance of high price is relatively low, and there is still a long time to grass-roots fertilizer use. Some agricultural traders still maintain a certain degree of caution, even plan to need it Before the start-up, we need to consider purchasing again, which is mainly based on purchase and sales. According to the feedback from the downstream market, at the beginning of this rise, the enterprises that are exporting recently tentatively increased on the basis of the shortage of spot supply. At that time, the actual demand in the domestic market was not large. Although the recent rise was fierce, the number of transactions was not much different from that in the earlier stage.

Secondly, the supply of urea market. This winter's urea production restriction is "similar" compared with previous years. It is the same but different. The same thing is that the supply of urea in this winter has indeed declined compared with the previous period, but the difference is that this year, the whole gas restriction has been cancelled, and the natural gas price has been increased moderately (in principle, the maximum increase is no more than 20%). Some gas companies are forced to increase the cost of raw materials instead of It is not necessary to stop production or limit production, but the recent urea production is still on the high side compared with the same period of previous years. In the international urea market, China's urea can not occupy a relatively dominant position, and it is difficult to guarantee the simultaneous growth of quantity and price. Under the premise of export blocked, the supply pressure in the domestic market is even greater. At this stage, although urea is still in the rising trend, some of the downstream ones What's more, the duration of this urea price increase still needs to be tested by the downstream market demand.

To sum up, it has to be said that the price of urea has shown a certain upward trend in the near future, and even the growth of some regions has been increasing continuously. For example, if short-term operation is considered, procurement can be carried out properly. If long-term operation is desired, it still needs to pay attention to the procurement of compound fertilizer market and the adjustment of later commencement.