In recent years, urea prices in Henan and other places have declined. It is reported that in the early stage of the compound fertilizer enterprises, there were thousands of tons to 10000 tons of purchase, and the annual production capacity of 300000 tons of compound fertilizer enterprises was less than 200 tons per day. It is estimated that the urea inventory can be used for 40 days, less than 40 days from the Spring Festival. In order to normal production after the year, the compound fertilizer enterprises should still supplement urea once before the year Warehouse plan. At that time, the price of urea plants in various regions may rise due to the situation of their own waiting volume, etc., and this small demand should be inadvertently realized in the near future years ago.

But for monoammonium, some people in the industry are not so optimistic. They think that there is no chance to reverse the decline of Monoammonium before this year. Most of the monoammonium raw materials in some composite plants are more than 10000 tons, and many of the small plants will reach thousands of tons, which are the guaranteed source of goods purchased in the early stage. It is reported that the demand for monoammonium in Northeast China in the near future is not much, and there are only small orders. In addition, diammonium is more cost-effective than monoammonium. Therefore, most fertilizer blending enterprises will choose diammonium as raw material. It is reported that the port sales price of 55% powdered ammonium in Bayuquan is only 1900 yuan (ton price, the same below). In recent months, due to the impact of environmental protection and safety inspection on the start-up rate of compound fertilizer, the rate of Monoammonium inventory consumption is slow. Many compound fertilizer plants think that monoammonium is difficult to have centralized and large amount of purchase demand before the Spring Festival. Some traders are still lack of confidence in monoammonium. In the near future, they pay little attention to monoammonium and have little intention of short-term operation.

The overall operating rate of Monoammonium has been kept at a low level this year. At present, the operating rate is relatively low, only 40% of which is slightly higher as a whole. The operating rate in Hubei is only about 40%. In the process of limiting production of some large factories, some small factories have been shut down for a long time. On the surface, the low operating level of Monoammonium makes the supply tight. However, according to the current demand situation, the supply is still too much. In addition, transportation in some regions is blocked, and some enterprises are blocked A certain amount of inventory has been overstocked. In order to clear the inventory at the end of the year, the lower price than the factory has hindered the sales of the factory to some extent. Therefore, there is still some pressure on the monoammonium factory.

In the near future, the sulfur price has returned to more than 500 yuan. Qatar's contract FOB price in January was 40 US dollars, ending the six-month continuous decline. In addition, recently, the price of electronic disk has moved up, the domestic sulfur market mentality has recovered, and the price has gone up. At present, the price of granular sulfur such as Yangtze River port and Fangcheng Port has slowly risen to 550 yuan. The prices of Puguang sulfur Wanzhou port and Dazhou plant are 530 yuan and 470 yuan respectively. Although the price is slowly picking up, considering the high stock of 2.7 million tons of sulfur in Hong Kong, it is difficult to have a significant recovery in the short term. Liquid ammonia is still at a low level, and the acceptance of liquid ammonia in Hubei Province is 2650-2700 yuan. The price of phosphate rock is stable. According to the current price of raw materials, the complete cost of 55% powdered ammonium in Hubei Province is only 1650-1700 yuan. Compared with the sales price of Monoammonium, monoammonium still has room to go down.

To sum up, the rigid demand for monoammonium before the Spring Festival is not much. In addition, the strong support of supply and raw sulfur is weak. In the short term, the price of Monoammonium is temporarily stable or may still drop slightly, and it is difficult to have a large number of centralized procurement before the year.