Recently, the price of urea has stopped falling, and many places of urea have entered the price rising mode. At this stage, urea, which was still "falling continuously" in the early stage, has once again become one of the few rising fertilizer types in the fertilizer market. At present, the main factory price of urea in Shandong Province is 1700 yuan (ton price, the same below). The receiving price of urea for composite fertilizer enterprises in Linyi region is 1750-1760 yuan. The main factory price of urea in Hebei Province is 1700-1720 yuan, and hehe is 1700-1720 yuan The factory price of main urea in South China is 1700-1710 yuan, that of main urea in Shanxi is 1670 yuan, and that of large particles is 1710-1720 yuan. Although the peak season of using fertilizer in spring has passed, and some big traders still say that the urea price increase has some speculation shadow, but from the recent market new order transaction situation, the urea price has at least stopped falling and stabilized, the low price new order transaction is less, and the new order transaction situation has improved compared with the previous period; and the downstream market thinks that the main factor of this urea speculation is the seasonal demand is weak With the arrival of the season and the high nitrogen fertilizer market still not in the peak season in summer, the demand support is relatively poor in the short term. In addition, the production of urea enterprises at this stage is still above 160000 tons, and the supply pressure is too large. The main reasons for the recent increase of urea price are as follows.

First of all, the market demand does reflect a little. At this stage, the demand of Heilongjiang and Xinjiang basic level market has not yet been fully started, and the demand is still strong, but the number has decreased compared with the previous period, and it is not difficult to see that the support is insufficient from the continuously declining price of large particles in Inner Mongolia and other places. However, in the near future, the new single demand of Jiangsu Anhui market continues to increase, and driven by some export orders, the low price gradually exits the market Recently, due to the hard industrial demand, the weekly orders of some large factories are mostly between 30000-40000 tons, and the sales pressure of enterprises has been relieved.

Secondly, we should promote stability with the rise, and not buy the rise but the fall. Due to the bearish mentality in the early market, and the daily output of urea enterprises once reached 167000 tons, even some of the downstream with demand were also waiting for the currency, lest the price would continue to decline in the later period, which caused the continuous increase of the pressure on the enterprise's shipment. In order to alleviate the pressure on their own inventory, some enterprises would further reduce the price, which resulted in "more and more drop" The more dare not buy, the more dare not buy, the lower price "is a strange circle. The market lacks the injection of favorable factors. At this time, the Indian bid is coming. Although the quantity and price of this bidding in India are not up to the satisfaction of the industry, it can at least reduce the pressure of urea production. In addition, the volume of urea transported by Jiangsu Anhui first belt Co., Ltd. is increasing, so the enterprise follows the trend. Although the downstream has the same acceptance of high-end price For the lower price, but at least the low-end price is gradually exiting the market, and the enthusiasm of new order transaction is also increased compared with the earlier stage. Stable shipping is the top priority for the high-level urea enterprises. Compared with the current price of urea, whether the current price of urea will again soar is only the second priority.The space for urea to rise may also be limited.