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Agricultural demand weakened, urea price weak operation, India standard is expected to be the base price support
Time:2020-06-19   Read:856second  

With the end of agricultural demand in South China, the domestic urea price began to continue to decline. As of June 17, the mainstream factory prices of small and medium-sized particles in some domestic markets were as follows: 1620-1640 yuan / ton for mainstream factory in Shandong market, 1600-1620 yuan / ton for mainstream factory in Henan market, 1680-1700 yuan / ton for main factory in Anhui Province, 1730-1750 yuan / ton for mainstream factory in Jiangsu Province, 1520-1560 yuan / ton for mainstream factory in Shanxi Province /Tons; 1480-1520 yuan / ton for Shaanxi mainstream export factory, 1380-1390 yuan / ton for North Xinjiang mainstream export, 1420-1440 yuan / ton for South Xinjiang mainstream export; 1450-1520 yuan / ton for Inner Mongolia mainstream export, and 1600-1650 yuan / ton for some high-end products.

At present, most of the market demand in the south of China is ending, and some rice fertilizers, such as southwest and Lianghu, are in the closing stage, only a small amount of agricultural fertilizer needs to be taken; in the north of Shandong, Hebei and Inner Mongolia, a small amount of fertilizer has been prepared in succession, but the peak season of fertilizer preparation has not been started yet, the peak season of fertilizer use in the northeast is approaching, and the downstream traders in the Bureau take a certain amount of goods, the peak sales in Xinjiang has passed, and the atmosphere of market delivery and investment has slowed down; and In general, at present, the demand for urea agriculture in China is weakening, and the market support is insufficient. In addition, the supply of urea in China is still abundant, and the shipping pressure of enterprises is gradually increasing, and there are price reduction and promotion operations in succession.

India issued a new round of tender, which will be opened on June 19, 2020, and the shipment will be on July 28. With the weakening of agricultural demand, the international urea price has stopped falling and rebounded, and the domestic market has increased its attention to this printing standard compared with the past. Some markets are optimistic that this printing standard will bring opportunities to China's Urea Export. After the end of this round of agricultural demand, the export price brought by the printing standard may become the support of domestic urea base price. It is predicted that the price of this printing is about US $fob230, which is equivalent to the ex factory price of domestic market of about RMB 1500 yuan / ton in Shandong, 1380 yuan / ton in Inner Mongolia, 1510 yuan / ton in Hebei and 1450 yuan / ton in Shanxi. Although there is still a certain gap between the current price and the current downward trend and the background of abundant domestic supply, the relative possibility of export is relatively large; however, some enterprises think that this printing is possible As in previous printing, it is still difficult to support domestic exports.

Generally speaking, the domestic urea price is affected by the weakening of agricultural demand, and the price may continue to be weak. However, the domestic market has some expectations for this printing, and most think that the domestic urea supply has export opportunities.

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