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In the past, urea bidding was always to stir fry every bid. Most of the ingredients were raised. The range of price increase was very limited and the duration was short. However, in the period of more than one month, the three bid issued by India made the urea price rise continuously. However, even if the urea price continued to rise, it could not completely rely on the international market. In the end, it was necessary to return to the "reality". At present, the domestic agricultural demand was off-season and the market was wholesale Most of them have price but no market, and the downstream is against high price urea. For a time, urea can not keep up with the rising price rhythm, and the high price market has cooled down. With the help of urea to support the market, the market of ammonium chloride is weak, the new orders of enterprises are light, and the price is also slightly loose.
At present, the quotation of domestic ammonium chloride enterprises is firm and weak, with some small drops. Although most quotations are stable, some transactions are slightly loose. Enterprises have a certain amount of orders to be issued, but the demand for new orders is light in the off-season. According to China chemical fertilizer network, the mainstream factory quotation of wet ammonium in East China is about 500-530 yuan / ton, 540-550 yuan / ton for high-end products, and 600-620 yuan / ton for dry ammonium. There is a small preferential space for transactions, and the wet ammonium market is still better than dry ammonium, and the goods are relatively smooth. In addition to the support of urea, the industry focus on the supply and demand changes of ammonium chloride itself.
On the one hand, the start-up of ammonium chloride enterprises is as high as 70%, and the inventory pressure of enterprises has increased risk. At present, the ammonium chloride unit of a plant in Shaanxi stops until the end of the month, and a large plant in Sichuan has a load of 60-70%. In addition, except for the long-term shutdown enterprises often mentioned in the early stage, the rest of the combined soda enterprises are still operating at a high level. One is the support of the rebound of soda ash market, and the other is that the centralized maintenance of the enterprise has been completed for a short time Generally, there is no maintenance plan. According to the statistics of China chemical fertilizer network, up to now, the overall industry operating rate of ammonium chloride enterprises is about 73.6%, and the daily total output is about 38600 tons. Under the condition of high load, its inventory may increase.
On the other hand, demand off-season, downstream more wait-and-see, delay to take goods, new single transaction light. According to the statistics of China chemical fertilizer network, the overall industry operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises is about 60%. Most of the small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises start on a low level. Firstly, the sales progress of finished fertilizer is poor, the inventory is high, and the production enthusiasm is not high, which leads to the delay in the purchase of raw material fertilizer; secondly, the start-up of extruded granular ammonium chloride enterprises is also at a low level, and the purchase quantity of raw material ammonium chloride is not much; thirdly Due to the influence of high temperature in some Southern markets, a small number of compound fertilizer and extrusion granule enterprises were forced to stop. At the same time, due to the influence of rainfall in some terminal markets, the use time of fertilizer was delayed and the amount of fertilizer decreased.
However, the ammonium chloride market still has good support. First, the export market is supported. In the first half of the year, China's export volume of ammonium chloride and nitrogen and phosphorus binary fertilizer is considerable. Recently, some traders said that although the current export volume has slowed down, it has digested the excess production in the domestic market to a certain extent; second, the inventory of ammonium chloride raw materials reserved by compound fertilizer enterprises is not large, so it needs to start and go The quantity is available.
Finally, in a comprehensive view, the price of urea market has risen frequently under the support of weak domestic demand and favorable export, but the resistance of domestic downstream market is aggravated. In the long run, this will also have a certain negative effect on ammonium chloride. At the same time, the performance of ammonium chloride itself is excessive supply and light demand. It is expected that the market of ammonium chloride will remain weak in the short term and wait for the release of demand in the later stage.
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