In September, the domestic autumn fertilizer market is immersed in the scene of delivery and arrival. It is understood that the overall downstream arrival volume is about 70%, and there is not much space for replenishment in the later stage. It is expected to release around the middle of September. In the near future, the downstream dealers have paid for the purchase of compound fertilizer in the early stage, and the compound fertilizer factory is also paying close attention to production and delivery, and there are not many new orders for compound fertilizer, Recently, the price of compound fertilizer is slightly firmer, mainly due to the support of raw material market, but the market is not clear for the time being. Most enterprises plan to prepare matters related to winter storage. The demand for raw materials of compound fertilizer enterprises is relatively small. For raw materials, they are mostly in the stage of consumption and inventory. However, if winter storage has the clue to start ahead of time, there will be a certain demand for raw materials in the future. The specific situation of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium raw materials is as follows.

Recently, the quotations of urea in Shandong, Lianghe, Shanxi and other places have all declined. At present, the mainstream factory quotation of urea in Shandong Province is 1670-1680 yuan (ton price, the same below), and the receiving price of urea by Linyi compound fertilizer enterprises is near 1680 yuan. Most urea enterprises still have port flow direction, but the domestic market demand for Industry and agriculture is still relatively poor. Even if it is reported that the port loading restriction is cancelled, the factory is ready to go, Downstream acceptance is also poor, the price has declined to a certain extent, but the industry forecast that the price cut should not be large. However, demand is the absolute principle. Export is only one aspect of the demand for urea. The main market of urea is still in China. The domestic industrial and agricultural demand is not good, and it is difficult to realize in the short term. The compound fertilizer enterprises are currently in the production and shipping stage, and the winter storage is only in the brewing stage. Therefore, the demand for urea procurement is still not strong, mainly on demand.

In the near future, the quotation of Monoammonium is mainly stable, the quotation of some enterprises is slightly adjusted, and some enterprises do not offer, and the transaction order is discussed. It is reported that the actual transaction price of Monoammonium is slightly lower than that in the previous period. At present, the actual ex factory price of 55% powdered ammonium in Hubei Dachang has dropped to around 1800 yuan, with a narrow fluctuation of about 20 yuan. The actual delivery price of 58% powdered ammonium is around 1900 yuan, which is 20-30 yuan lower than that when Hubei collective lowered the price. Recently, the number of new orders in the factory is small, most of which are small. It is reported that the main reason for the shortage in the delivery of Monoammonium is that the time for fertilizer consumption is getting closer and closer. The downstream compound fertilizer enterprises hope that the raw material monoammonium monoammonium purchased in the early stage will arrive at the plant as soon as possible. In addition, there are relatively few transport vehicles in the fourth quarter, so the transportation is very tight. However, this does not mean that the demand has improved. Although the small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises have opened trade unions to bring certain demand recently, the overall volume is not enough to support the market of Monoammonium, and some industries are also lack of confidence in monoammonium. Therefore, the new procurement of compound fertilizer enterprises should be cautious.

As of this Thursday, the price policy of Salt Lake potassium chloride in September has not been officially promulgated. The author inquired the agent, who said that 60% crystal potassium chloride arrived at the station for 1850 yuan, and all the preferential treatment would be cancelled. However, some industry believed that the possibility of canceling all the preferential treatment should be small. If this is the case, the acceptance of downstream travel should not be high, and the compound fertilizer enterprises will still purchase according to demand and plan For the most part, the willingness of a large number of reserves should not be strong.

In conclusion, the situation of raw materials in September is different, and compound fertilizer enterprises should not have strong intention to purchase raw materials in the production and shipment stage of autumn fertilizer. However, while brewing the policy of winter storage, they pay more attention to the raw materials of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium, and they should be cautious when appropriate.