The off-season is not light, and this strange market is the most recently mentioned by manufacturers. Since the urea market continues to heat up, the price has maintained a continuous upward trend. Although some downstream units are against high price urea, the urea price in some areas is still rising steadily due to the low start-up. Among them, the willingness of the compound fertilizer enterprises in Linyi area to receive the goods is reduced, and the receiving price is also slightly reduced to about 1800-1810 yuan / ton. It is necessary to guard against the signal released by slowing down the transaction of high price urea.
       The price of natural gas in Southwest China has risen, and the cost of gas head urea enterprises has increased. The supply of urea in the domestic market is relatively low, and the industrial demand is relatively good. Recently, the price of urea has gone up like crazy in export orders and the printing mark that may be issued in the last ten days. Recently, the price of urea in some regions has risen to 100-200 yuan / ton, which is more than expected. However, in the off-season of agricultural market, the industry is against the high price urea Xu, I'm afraid that the price rise of urea has entered the second half or the end.
       In Shanxi market, which is usually considered as a low price region, the operating rate of urea enterprises is low, and the supply of goods is less. The mainstream ex factory quotation of urea rises to about 1730-1740 yuan / ton, the mainstream ex factory quotation of urea in Inner Mongolia is about 1610-1650 yuan / ton, and some high-end products are up to 1710 yuan / ton. Of course, there is also the situation that there is no market in the base layer market, such as the wholesale price of urea in Jiangsu is 1850-1860 yuan / ton Right, the next market is concerned.
   first of all, the operating rate of urea enterprises is low, and the supply of goods in the market is tight. At present, Jincheng area of Shanxi Province is still limiting production. Due to the impact of environmental protection and safety inspection in many areas, the start-up of urea enterprises is often limited. In addition, the price of natural gas in Southwest China has increased, and some enterprises have reduced risks in the later stage of construction. According to statistics of China fertilizer network, the operating rate of urea enterprises in the whole industry is 54.06%, with a daily total output of about 151800 tons, and the local supply is slightly tight At present, the domestic liquid ammonia market continues to rise, and the price of each factory is high, and it is still going up. The production focus of enterprises, whether urea or liquid ammonia, has great advantages. Therefore, under the support of high price of liquid ammonia in the short term, the bottom gas of urea is still sufficient.
Secondly, agricultural demand is in the off-season. Although the industrial demand is fair, it is against the high price of urea. The agricultural market is in the off-season, of course, in addition to a small amount of demand in some areas, Northeast China and other places have appropriate winter reserve fertilizer, and the main flow of urea is lack of demand support. However, the current industrial demand is still acceptable. First, under the support of the rising price of raw material fertilizer and winter storage fertilizer, the start-up of the whole industry has slowly rebounded, and the purchase of urea has increased compared with the previous period; second, the start-up of plywood plants has rebounded to a certain extent, and the purchase of urea is also considerable. In addition, the export market is one of the factors that affect the price of domestic urea market. The reason is that according to market feedback, India may issue a new tender again in the middle or the end of the month, or become an expected factor for the domestic urea to stir up again. However, the specific situation still needs to pay attention to the follow-up progress and the real-time situation of port loading and unloading.
   again, the price of urea is on the high side, while the price of ammonium chloride is at a low level, and the impact on urea is gradually obvious. Throughout the trend and price of NPK raw material fertilizers, they are rising, and the range is large, and even some raw materials are difficult to obtain in stock. Only ammonium chloride has a moderate growth trend and a small increase, and the price difference compared with urea is too large. Under the pressure of cost, some compound fertilizer enterprises choose ammonium chloride to replace part of urea, which affects the demand of urea.
   Finally, in a comprehensive view, the price increase of natural gas and the printing of labels are the support for urea enterprises. However, in the off-season of agriculture, the urea price is higher than expected, and the industrial resistance is becoming stronger. In addition, the impact of ammonium chloride on the urea market is obvious. It is expected that the urea market will still have a certain positive support in the short term, and some prices may be stable or slightly pushed up, but in the long run, the demand will be bearish Situation or to the end of the second half, should turn weak.