The price of urea rose and fell like seven escapes, but the price remained high all the time. It was clear that there was a price but no market for urea at the grass-roots level. The weakening industrial demand led to a small drop in the local urea price. However, the price rebounded rapidly and mildly. For example, the price of urea from Linyi compound fertilizer plant dropped to 1800 yuan / ton and then rose to 1820 yuan / ton again. The price of urea in other markets remained high and firm Due to the increasing price of raw materials such as urea, compound fertilizer enterprises have raised their own prices, but at the same time, due to the sales pressure, they have kept away from the purchase of urea. Due to the impact of environmental protection inspection, some plywood factories are limited in starting operations, and the demand for urea is reduced, The frequent fluctuation of urea at this stage is worrying.

Due to environmental protection and production restriction and plant maintenance, local urea enterprises start their operations slightly lower and supply of goods is relatively tight. For example, the mainstream ex factory quotation of small granule urea in Shanxi Province has risen to about 1710-1720 yuan / ton, while the cost of gas head urea enterprises in Southwest China has increased to about 1730-1780 yuan / ton due to the increase of natural gas price. Even with the expectation of printing standard and the upcoming meeting of phosphate compound fertilizer, the industry is still worried about the high price of urea, which should be considered from both supply and demand.

First of all, the start-up of urea enterprises is low, and it is unlikely to pick up, but it may have a downward trend. According to the statistics of China chemical fertilizer network, up to now, the overall industry operating rate of urea enterprises is about 54.12%, and the daily total output is about 152000 tons. In addition to long-term shutdown of urea enterprises, the start-up of some urea enterprises in Shanxi is limited due to the impact of environmental protection. In addition, some enterprises in North China say that transportation is affected by environmental protection In addition, the production reduction of gas head urea enterprises in Southwest China and Inner Mongolia due to gas restriction should also be considered; in addition, the price of liquid ammonia is running at a high level, both the production of urea and the shift of focus to liquid ammonia have advantages. Even though the price of local liquid ammonia drops slightly, the range is temporarily limited, and the support for urea is still sufficient.

Secondly, industry and agriculture complement each other in demand. In the off-season of agricultural demand, urea in the grass-roots market keeps rising, but there is no market for urea. Even if some fertilizers are available in the later stage, the overall demand is limited. The agricultural material merchants and farmers at the grass-roots level are all on the lookout, and plan to use and harvest as soon as possible in the later stage; large traders are worried about high-priced urea, and the industrial urea reserve is fair, but they are cautious about agricultural urea reserve; in the early stage, under the support of light storage, compound fertilizer enterprises are able to use urea At the same time of the rising price of raw material fertilizer, the quotation of compound fertilizer was raised accordingly. However, there was strong resistance in the downstream, and the price rise and sales of compound fertilizer were blocked. Moreover, the cost pressure of compound fertilizer increased significantly due to the rise of raw materials, and the enthusiasm of production was reduced. The overall industry started operation at a low level all the time, which was a negative effect on the trend of urea demand. In addition, ammonium chloride, a small nitrogen fertilizer, also has a certain impact on urea. It is expected that the market of ammonium chloride will be better in the near future, but the increase will be limited, and the price of urea will remain high. Under the pressure of cost, some compound fertilizer enterprises choose ammonium chloride instead of part of urea, which is more popular.

A new Indian tender may be issued in the near future. However, from the current domestic and international urea prices, the industry said that if the price does not conform to the domestic standard, the support for domestic urea market is limited, and it is necessary to pay attention to the information on the printing of the label at any time.

Finally, in a comprehensive view, the supply of urea is tight and balanced in the short term, and the demand is relatively good. In addition, the bidding information of India is still waiting for. In the later stage, it may be used to explain the matter. It is expected that the urea market will not change much in the short term, and the price will remain high.