It is true that the price of urea rises and falls frequently. Before the Spring Festival, the price of urea is expected to fall after the festival. However, after the Spring Festival, the price of urea rises again inconceivably. Even if the price of other raw materials including compound fertilizer also rises, urea still attracts the envy of other fertilizers. Recently, the market of urea has weakened, and the price of many places has continued to fall, such as parts of North China, East China and central China, while the southwest market and Guangdong and Guangxi Regional urea prices are still at a high level, and even some grassroots markets are still rising. However, with the fall of prices in other markets, in the long run, the regional prices of rising prices will inevitably be affected and lead to a fall. It can not be ruled out that some traders scramble for the spring market due to the abundant high price supply of early reserves.

At present, the start-up of urea production enterprises is generally at a high level, and the supply of goods in the market is sufficient or even surplus, while the resistance of the downstream to high price urea is increasing. Under the influence of a variety of bad factors, the price of urea is under pressure. Since the end of last week, the price of urea has dropped, and the range is generally concentrated at about 50-80 yuan / ton, up to 130 yuan / ton individually. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of urea in Shanxi Province is about 2000 yuan / ton, while that in Henan Province is about 2070 yuan / ton. The enterprises say that there is no market for urea, and the receiving price of urea in compound fertilizer enterprises in Linyi District of Shandong Province is about 2100-2120 yuan / ton. In the main "battlefield" in spring, the price trend of urea has attracted much attention. At present, the price reduction of urea is inevitable. It's just a decent price reduction.

First of all, the start-up of urea enterprises remains high, and the new production capacity is gradually released. The price of urea has just begun to fall, and the start-up of urea enterprises is still at a high level, and there is no planned maintenance in the near future. According to the statistics of China fertilizer network, the overall industry operation rate of urea enterprises is about 57.53%, and the daily output is about 161500 tons. In addition, the price of liquid ammonia, which was originally placed in, fluctuates with each other, with a range of 50-100 yuan / ton. Although there is a small increase expectation, the overall price of urea enterprises is still low The price is still low. Compared with urea, the production focus of enterprises will still be on urea. Moreover, new urea production capacity has been put into operation in succession. For example, the production and operation of new urea plants in Hubei and Jiangxi are better. In the later stage, the new production capacity of individual enterprises in Shandong will be released. In addition, some gas head urea enterprises in some regions also have plans to resume production.

Secondly, the demand of urea industry and agriculture is general, and the printing standard is not clear. On the one hand, the high price of urea dropped, which led to some grassroots dealers waiting for the market, and the purchase was delayed; the large agricultural materials suppliers had sufficient reserves in the early stage, and the national reserves would gradually circulate in the market, and the supply increased in the later stage, so the replenishment purchase should be carried out on demand, and there was a lack of large single support in the market; the start-up of industrial compound fertilizer enterprises picked up a little, and the finished product cost of industrial compound fertilizer enterprises increased with the support of various raw material costs The price of fertilizer rises gradually, and the procurement progress of urea is acceptable; however, the printing standard is not clear. If the dust of printing standard is settled in the later stage, and the price and quantity are better, the domestic urea market can be improved. Otherwise, the price of urea still has the risk of going down.

Thirdly, the price of ammonium chloride in small nitrogenous fertilizer rose steadily, and the purchase volume of ammonium chloride by some compound fertilizer enterprises or mixed fertilizer enterprises increased, which replaced part of urea. Moreover, due to the recent fall of urea price, the market of ammonium chloride also remained cautious for the time being, which also had a certain impact on urea.
On the whole, the urea market is out of balance in terms of domestic supply and demand, and there is no exact news from the printing standard. Under the negative lead and the pessimistic attitude of the industry, the spring market is around the corner. It is expected that the urea market will still be weak in the near future, there is still room for local prices to drop slightly, and some areas with high prices or make-up prices may follow.